The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMA-06 House Election Winner
$26,817 Wol.
$26,817 Wol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$26,817 Wol.
$26,817 Wol.
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania