Major institutions project U.S. real GDP to expand at an annual rate near 2.2 percent in 2026, supported by resilient consumer spending, ongoing business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and the lingering effects of prior fiscal measures. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported 2.0 percent annualized growth for the first quarter of 2026, with forecasters at the Congressional Budget Office, Goldman Sachs, and S&P Global Ratings aligning on positive full-year outcomes between 2.0 and 2.5 percent. Market-implied odds reflect this broad consensus, though downside risks from potential tariff pass-through or energy price spikes could modestly reduce momentum without triggering contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-quarter GDP release and ongoing labor-market data that will inform the pace of monetary easing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNegative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$26,508 Wol.
$26,508 Wol.
Jan 29, 2027
$26,508 Wol.
$26,508 Wol.
Jan 29, 2027
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.Major institutions project U.S. real GDP to expand at an annual rate near 2.2 percent in 2026, supported by resilient consumer spending, ongoing business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and the lingering effects of prior fiscal measures. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported 2.0 percent annualized growth for the first quarter of 2026, with forecasters at the Congressional Budget Office, Goldman Sachs, and S&P Global Ratings aligning on positive full-year outcomes between 2.0 and 2.5 percent. Market-implied odds reflect this broad consensus, though downside risks from potential tariff pass-through or energy price spikes could modestly reduce momentum without triggering contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-quarter GDP release and ongoing labor-market data that will inform the pace of monetary easing.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$26,508Data zakończenia
Jan 29, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.Major institutions project U.S. real GDP to expand at an annual rate near 2.2 percent in 2026, supported by resilient consumer spending, ongoing business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and the lingering effects of prior fiscal measures. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported 2.0 percent annualized growth for the first quarter of 2026, with forecasters at the Congressional Budget Office, Goldman Sachs, and S&P Global Ratings aligning on positive full-year outcomes between 2.0 and 2.5 percent. Market-implied odds reflect this broad consensus, though downside risks from potential tariff pass-through or energy price spikes could modestly reduce momentum without triggering contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-quarter GDP release and ongoing labor-market data that will inform the pace of monetary easing.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
Wolumen
$26,508Data zakończenia
Jan 29, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Major institutions project U.S. real GDP to expand at an annual rate near 2.2 percent in 2026, supported by resilient consumer spending, ongoing business investment in AI-related capital expenditures, and the lingering effects of prior fiscal measures. The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported 2.0 percent annualized growth for the first quarter of 2026, with forecasters at the Congressional Budget Office, Goldman Sachs, and S&P Global Ratings aligning on positive full-year outcomes between 2.0 and 2.5 percent. Market-implied odds reflect this broad consensus, though downside risks from potential tariff pass-through or energy price spikes could modestly reduce momentum without triggering contraction. Key upcoming catalysts include the second-quarter GDP release and ongoing labor-market data that will inform the pace of monetary easing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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