Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and features an uncontested primary path for Tonko ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts in recent weeks reinforce this positioning, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated safe Democratic districts. Low-probability scenarios that could still alter outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-20 House Election Winner
NY-20 House Election Winner
$34,940 Wol.
$34,940 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$34,940 Wol.
$34,940 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,177 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$18,762 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and features an uncontested primary path for Tonko ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts in recent weeks reinforce this positioning, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated safe Democratic districts. Low-probability scenarios that could still alter outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,940Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and features an uncontested primary path for Tonko ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts in recent weeks reinforce this positioning, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated safe Democratic districts. Low-probability scenarios that could still alter outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$34,940Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Paul Tonko's established position in New York's 20th congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles, and features an uncontested primary path for Tonko ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election against Republican Ralph Ambrosio. Limited campaign activity or polling shifts in recent weeks reinforce this positioning, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated safe Democratic districts. Low-probability scenarios that could still alter outcomes include late-breaking scandals, health developments affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm environment.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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