The September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial election features a fragmented field where trader consensus prices Genta Koja highest at 45.5% amid support from the LDP and its coalition partners, followed by Shun Kaneshima and incumbent Denny Tamaki. Recent national election shifts have eroded Tamaki's base, with the Centrist Reform Alliance remaining undecided on the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, while Koja emphasizes economic priorities. Multiple independent and minor-party candidacies, including Mikio Shimoji and Chosuke Yara, further split preferences in this single-member race. The tight pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout among base-opposition voters, local economic concerns, and potential late endorsements that could consolidate support before the vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGenta Koja 36%
Shun Kaneshima 30%
Denny Tamaki 25%
Masahiro Sueyoshi 25%

Genta Koja
45%

Shun Kaneshima
30%

Denny Tamaki
25%

Masahiro Sueyoshi
25%

Mikio Shimoji
24%

Chosuke Yara
6%

Takashi Higa
6%
Genta Koja 36%
Shun Kaneshima 30%
Denny Tamaki 25%
Masahiro Sueyoshi 25%

Genta Koja
45%

Shun Kaneshima
30%

Denny Tamaki
25%

Masahiro Sueyoshi
25%

Mikio Shimoji
24%

Chosuke Yara
6%

Takashi Higa
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The September 13, 2026, Okinawa gubernatorial election features a fragmented field where trader consensus prices Genta Koja highest at 45.5% amid support from the LDP and its coalition partners, followed by Shun Kaneshima and incumbent Denny Tamaki. Recent national election shifts have eroded Tamaki's base, with the Centrist Reform Alliance remaining undecided on the Henoko relocation of U.S. Marine Corps Air Station Futenma, while Koja emphasizes economic priorities. Multiple independent and minor-party candidacies, including Mikio Shimoji and Chosuke Yara, further split preferences in this single-member race. The tight pricing reflects uncertainty over turnout among base-opposition voters, local economic concerns, and potential late endorsements that could consolidate support before the vote.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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