Early polling for Querétaro’s 2027 gubernatorial election shows a competitive field with PAN holding a modest edge over Morena amid high undecided shares. Recent surveys from mid-2026 indicate PAN candidates like Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera and Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero lead internal preferences, while Santiago Nieto Castillo emerges as Morena’s strongest head-to-head option. Multiple aspirants from PAN, Morena, and smaller parties remain active, keeping implied probabilities fragmented across names such as Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez and others below 45 percent. Trader sentiment reflects the open timeline, with nomination processes, further state-level surveys, and national political shifts likely to consolidate support ahead of the vote.