The Sonora gubernatorial race for 2027 remains wide open more than a year before voting, with trader prices reflecting fragmented early positioning across multiple parties and no confirmed nominees. Morena’s internal preferences show Célida Teresa López Cárdenas, Javier Lamarque Cano, and Lorenia Valles Sampedro clustered near the top of recent surveys, while PRI, PAN, and Movimiento Ciudadano figures such as Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez, Lilly Téllez García, and others trail in comparable ranges. State cabinet members and former officials dominate the field, but coalition negotiations, primary mechanics, and potential independent candidacies have yet to consolidate support. The absence of decisive polling leads or major endorsements keeps implied probabilities closely bunched, with separation likely only after party conventions and the start of formal campaigning.