US policy continues to affirm Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its 1991 borders, as reflected in congressional resolutions and statements from Trump administration officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Stalled negotiations, including the 2025 Alaska Summit that produced no signed agreements, have not shifted this stance despite Russian demands for recognition of occupied areas. Ukrainian forces have conducted successful counterattacks and strikes in 2026, slowing Russian advances and reducing momentum for territorial concessions. With no verified US diplomatic moves toward formal recognition before the 2027 deadline and ongoing emphasis on security guarantees instead, traders assign only a 7.5% probability to a “Yes” outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano8% szansa
$184,819 Wol.
$184,819 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
8% szansa
$184,819 Wol.
$184,819 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US policy continues to affirm Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its 1991 borders, as reflected in congressional resolutions and statements from Trump administration officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Stalled negotiations, including the 2025 Alaska Summit that produced no signed agreements, have not shifted this stance despite Russian demands for recognition of occupied areas. Ukrainian forces have conducted successful counterattacks and strikes in 2026, slowing Russian advances and reducing momentum for territorial concessions. With no verified US diplomatic moves toward formal recognition before the 2027 deadline and ongoing emphasis on security guarantees instead, traders assign only a 7.5% probability to a “Yes” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$184,819Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.US policy continues to affirm Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its 1991 borders, as reflected in congressional resolutions and statements from Trump administration officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Stalled negotiations, including the 2025 Alaska Summit that produced no signed agreements, have not shifted this stance despite Russian demands for recognition of occupied areas. Ukrainian forces have conducted successful counterattacks and strikes in 2026, slowing Russian advances and reducing momentum for territorial concessions. With no verified US diplomatic moves toward formal recognition before the 2027 deadline and ongoing emphasis on security guarantees instead, traders assign only a 7.5% probability to a “Yes” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action.
Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify.
Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
Wolumen
$184,819Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 13, 2025, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US policy continues to affirm Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity within its 1991 borders, as reflected in congressional resolutions and statements from Trump administration officials including Secretary of State Marco Rubio. Stalled negotiations, including the 2025 Alaska Summit that produced no signed agreements, have not shifted this stance despite Russian demands for recognition of occupied areas. Ukrainian forces have conducted successful counterattacks and strikes in 2026, slowing Russian advances and reducing momentum for territorial concessions. With no verified US diplomatic moves toward formal recognition before the 2027 deadline and ongoing emphasis on security guarantees instead, traders assign only a 7.5% probability to a “Yes” outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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