Recent high-level engagement has sustained momentum toward tariff stabilization. Following the 2025 Kuala Lumpur framework and subsequent Trump-Xi summits, the two sides extended reciprocal tariff suspensions until November 2026 while establishing U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to manage bilateral flows. Additional commitments emerged from May 2026 talks, including expanded agricultural purchases and in-principle discussions on reciprocal tariff reductions covering at least $30 billion in goods per side. Ongoing working-level negotiations in Geneva and Seoul, combined with the existing truce and exclusion extensions through late 2026, underpin trader expectations that further formalization remains achievable before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
$17,429 Wol.
$17,429 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$17,429 Wol.
$17,429 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level engagement has sustained momentum toward tariff stabilization. Following the 2025 Kuala Lumpur framework and subsequent Trump-Xi summits, the two sides extended reciprocal tariff suspensions until November 2026 while establishing U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to manage bilateral flows. Additional commitments emerged from May 2026 talks, including expanded agricultural purchases and in-principle discussions on reciprocal tariff reductions covering at least $30 billion in goods per side. Ongoing working-level negotiations in Geneva and Seoul, combined with the existing truce and exclusion extensions through late 2026, underpin trader expectations that further formalization remains achievable before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$17,429Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent high-level engagement has sustained momentum toward tariff stabilization. Following the 2025 Kuala Lumpur framework and subsequent Trump-Xi summits, the two sides extended reciprocal tariff suspensions until November 2026 while establishing U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to manage bilateral flows. Additional commitments emerged from May 2026 talks, including expanded agricultural purchases and in-principle discussions on reciprocal tariff reductions covering at least $30 billion in goods per side. Ongoing working-level negotiations in Geneva and Seoul, combined with the existing truce and exclusion extensions through late 2026, underpin trader expectations that further formalization remains achievable before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Wolumen
$17,429Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent high-level engagement has sustained momentum toward tariff stabilization. Following the 2025 Kuala Lumpur framework and subsequent Trump-Xi summits, the two sides extended reciprocal tariff suspensions until November 2026 while establishing U.S.-China boards of trade and investment to manage bilateral flows. Additional commitments emerged from May 2026 talks, including expanded agricultural purchases and in-principle discussions on reciprocal tariff reductions covering at least $30 billion in goods per side. Ongoing working-level negotiations in Geneva and Seoul, combined with the existing truce and exclusion extensions through late 2026, underpin trader expectations that further formalization remains achievable before year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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