Trump administration's May 1, 2026, executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban officials and military-linked entities for repression has intensified maximum pressure policy, slashing prospects for a US-Cuba economic deal amid the island's acute energy crisis from blocked oil imports since February. Earlier signals of negotiations—including April US visits to Havana proposing reforms and March reports of potential pacts—have evaporated, with Secretary Rubio unveiling further restrictions targeting GAESA conglomerate on May 7. Traders reflect this reversal in low implied probabilities, wary of stalled diplomacy despite Cuba's offers for cooperation. Key watch: June 5 deadline for foreign firms to cease Cuban dealings, risking secondary sanctions and deeper isolation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS x Cuba economic deal by...?
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
$233,294 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
36%
$233,294 Wol.
June 30
$97,297 Wol.
36%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trump administration's May 1, 2026, executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban officials and military-linked entities for repression has intensified maximum pressure policy, slashing prospects for a US-Cuba economic deal amid the island's acute energy crisis from blocked oil imports since February. Earlier signals of negotiations—including April US visits to Havana proposing reforms and March reports of potential pacts—have evaporated, with Secretary Rubio unveiling further restrictions targeting GAESA conglomerate on May 7. Traders reflect this reversal in low implied probabilities, wary of stalled diplomacy despite Cuba's offers for cooperation. Key watch: June 5 deadline for foreign firms to cease Cuban dealings, risking secondary sanctions and deeper isolation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$233,294Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Trump administration's May 1, 2026, executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban officials and military-linked entities for repression has intensified maximum pressure policy, slashing prospects for a US-Cuba economic deal amid the island's acute energy crisis from blocked oil imports since February. Earlier signals of negotiations—including April US visits to Havana proposing reforms and March reports of potential pacts—have evaporated, with Secretary Rubio unveiling further restrictions targeting GAESA conglomerate on May 7. Traders reflect this reversal in low implied probabilities, wary of stalled diplomacy despite Cuba's offers for cooperation. Key watch: June 5 deadline for foreign firms to cease Cuban dealings, risking secondary sanctions and deeper isolation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties or confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Wolumen
$233,294Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 13, 2026, 2:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump administration's May 1, 2026, executive order imposing sanctions on Cuban officials and military-linked entities for repression has intensified maximum pressure policy, slashing prospects for a US-Cuba economic deal amid the island's acute energy crisis from blocked oil imports since February. Earlier signals of negotiations—including April US visits to Havana proposing reforms and March reports of potential pacts—have evaporated, with Secretary Rubio unveiling further restrictions targeting GAESA conglomerate on May 7. Traders reflect this reversal in low implied probabilities, wary of stalled diplomacy despite Cuba's offers for cooperation. Key watch: June 5 deadline for foreign firms to cease Cuban dealings, risking secondary sanctions and deeper isolation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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