Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier secured over 53% in Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary for the 8th district, advancing against Republican Spencer Meline amid a field where GOP votes split among multiple candidates. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, reflecting modest Democratic lean from recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Schrier's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent voter support in a suburban and rural mix have anchored trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic win. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout shifts that overcome the district's structural baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWA-08 House Election Winner
WA-08 House Election Winner
$15,326 Wol.
$15,326 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$15,326 Wol.
$15,326 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,485 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$6,841 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier secured over 53% in Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary for the 8th district, advancing against Republican Spencer Meline amid a field where GOP votes split among multiple candidates. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, reflecting modest Democratic lean from recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Schrier's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent voter support in a suburban and rural mix have anchored trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic win. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout shifts that overcome the district's structural baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,326Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier secured over 53% in Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary for the 8th district, advancing against Republican Spencer Meline amid a field where GOP votes split among multiple candidates. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, reflecting modest Democratic lean from recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Schrier's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent voter support in a suburban and rural mix have anchored trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic win. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout shifts that overcome the district's structural baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$15,326Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier secured over 53% in Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary for the 8th district, advancing against Republican Spencer Meline amid a field where GOP votes split among multiple candidates. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3, reflecting modest Democratic lean from recent presidential results, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. Schrier's established incumbency, substantial fundraising edge, and consistent voter support in a suburban and rural mix have anchored trader consensus near 95% for a Democratic win. A Republican upset would likely require an unusually strong national midterm wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or turnout shifts that overcome the district's structural baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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