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Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?
Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?

$342k - $345k 30%

$345k - $348k 16%

$339k - $342k 15%

$348k - $351k 12%

Polymarket
NOWE

$342k - $345k 30%

$345k - $348k 16%

$339k - $342k 15%

$348k - $351k 12%

Polymarket
NOWE

<$339k

$77 Wol.

8%

$339k - $342k

$51 Wol.

15%

$342k - $345k

$62 Wol.

30%

$345k - $348k

$173 Wol.

16%

$348k - $351k

$188 Wol.

12%

$351k - $354k

$46 Wol.

6%

>$354k

$185 Wol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent housing market data underscore modest price appreciation in Chicago, with Zillow's typical home value index at approximately $324,000 through April 2026 and median sale prices ranging from $350,000 to $420,000 in recent Redfin and Realtor.com reports, supported by low inventory levels and steady buyer demand despite 30-year mortgage rates near 6%. This environment, combined with seasonal patterns ahead of June 30 resolution and variability across value indices versus transaction prices, drives the dispersed trader consensus, with the highest implied probability of 29.5% clustered in the $342,000–$345,000 band amid broader uncertainty across adjacent ranges.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Wolumen
$782
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent housing market data underscore modest price appreciation in Chicago, with Zillow's typical home value index at approximately $324,000 through April 2026 and median sale prices ranging from $350,000 to $420,000 in recent Redfin and Realtor.com reports, supported by low inventory levels and steady buyer demand despite 30-year mortgage rates near 6%. This environment, combined with seasonal patterns ahead of June 30 resolution and variability across value indices versus transaction prices, drives the dispersed trader consensus, with the highest implied probability of 29.5% clustered in the $342,000–$345,000 band amid broader uncertainty across adjacent ranges.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Wolumen
$782
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "$342k - $345k" z 30%, za nim "$345k - $348k" z 16%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 30¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 30% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 3, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" jest "$342k - $345k" z 30%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 30% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "$345k - $348k" z 16%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will the median home value in Chicago be on June 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.