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Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?

icon for What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?
Gospodarka·Parcl

What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?

<$554k 78%

$554k - $558k 18%

$562k - $566k 8%

$566k - $570k 7%

Polymarket
NOWE

<$554k 78%

$554k - $558k 18%

$562k - $566k 8%

$566k - $570k 7%

Polymarket
NOWE

<$554k

$448 Wol.

78%

$554k - $558k

$73 Wol.

11%

$558k - $562k

$73 Wol.

6%

$562k - $566k

$46 Wol.

8%

$566k - $570k

$46 Wol.

7%

$570k - $572k

$46 Wol.

7%

>$572k

$71 Wol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent federal workforce reductions and policy uncertainty have intensified demand weakness across the DC Metro area, driving higher inventory levels and extended marketing times that support the market-implied 82.5% probability of median home values closing below $554,000 on June 30. Year-over-year price metrics from sources like Redfin and Zillow show modest declines or flat performance in core jurisdictions, with median sale prices hovering near $580,000–$650,000 amid broader cooling. Mortgage rate stability and limited near-term catalysts before month-end reinforce trader consensus around these levels, though any surprise positive employment data could introduce modest volatility in the narrow 8% band for $554k–$558k.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Wolumen
$802
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---Recent federal workforce reductions and policy uncertainty have intensified demand weakness across the DC Metro area, driving higher inventory levels and extended marketing times that support the market-implied 82.5% probability of median home values closing below $554,000 on June 30. Year-over-year price metrics from sources like Redfin and Zillow show modest declines or flat performance in core jurisdictions, with median sale prices hovering near $580,000–$650,000 amid broader cooling. Mortgage rate stability and limited near-term catalysts before month-end reinforce trader consensus around these levels, though any surprise positive employment data could introduce modest volatility in the narrow 8% band for $554k–$558k.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---
Wolumen
$802
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 1, 2026, 8:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/45) ---

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Często zadawane pytania

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 7 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "<$554k" z 78%, za nim "$554k - $558k" z 11%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 78¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 78% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 2, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?", przeglądaj 7 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" jest "<$554k" z 78%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 78% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "$554k - $558k" z 11%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on June 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.