Recent appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, driven by persistent low inventory and resilient buyer demand particularly in higher-price segments, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around the $1.216M–$1.244M range. Redfin data through May 2026 show median sale prices near $1.7M with 16% year-over-year gains, while Zillow metro-area home values have risen steadily amid mortgage rates near 6% and improving affordability signals from expected Federal Reserve easing. The closely contested distribution reflects uncertainty over whether June 30 readings from the relevant index will capture further modest gains or stabilize near April levels around $1.37M city benchmarks adjusted for the broader metro. Tight supply, tech-sector employment trends, and seasonal sales patterns remain key swing factors in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhat will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?
What will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be on June 30?
$1.230M - $1.244M 25%
$1.216M - $1.230M 21%
>$1.244M 16%
$1.202M - $1.216M 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
<$1.174M
4%
$1.174M - $1.188M
5%
$1.188M - $1.202M
4%
$1.202M - $1.216M
7%
$1.216M - $1.230M
21%
$1.230M - $1.244M
32%
>$1.244M
16%
$1.230M - $1.244M 25%
$1.216M - $1.230M 21%
>$1.244M 16%
$1.202M - $1.216M 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2026
<$1.174M
$38 Wol.
4%
$1.174M - $1.188M
$38 Wol.
5%
$1.188M - $1.202M
$38 Wol.
4%
$1.202M - $1.216M
$62 Wol.
7%
$1.216M - $1.230M
$40 Wol.
21%
$1.230M - $1.244M
$199 Wol.
32%
>$1.244M
$185 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, driven by persistent low inventory and resilient buyer demand particularly in higher-price segments, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around the $1.216M–$1.244M range. Redfin data through May 2026 show median sale prices near $1.7M with 16% year-over-year gains, while Zillow metro-area home values have risen steadily amid mortgage rates near 6% and improving affordability signals from expected Federal Reserve easing. The closely contested distribution reflects uncertainty over whether June 30 readings from the relevant index will capture further modest gains or stabilize near April levels around $1.37M city benchmarks adjusted for the broader metro. Tight supply, tech-sector employment trends, and seasonal sales patterns remain key swing factors in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Rynek otwarty: Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$600Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)Recent appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, driven by persistent low inventory and resilient buyer demand particularly in higher-price segments, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around the $1.216M–$1.244M range. Redfin data through May 2026 show median sale prices near $1.7M with 16% year-over-year gains, while Zillow metro-area home values have risen steadily amid mortgage rates near 6% and improving affordability signals from expected Federal Reserve easing. The closely contested distribution reflects uncertainty over whether June 30 readings from the relevant index will capture further modest gains or stabilize near April levels around $1.37M city benchmarks adjusted for the broader metro. Tight supply, tech-sector employment trends, and seasonal sales patterns remain key swing factors in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/44)
Wolumen
$600Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 2:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent appreciation in the San Francisco metro housing market, driven by persistent low inventory and resilient buyer demand particularly in higher-price segments, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around the $1.216M–$1.244M range. Redfin data through May 2026 show median sale prices near $1.7M with 16% year-over-year gains, while Zillow metro-area home values have risen steadily amid mortgage rates near 6% and improving affordability signals from expected Federal Reserve easing. The closely contested distribution reflects uncertainty over whether June 30 readings from the relevant index will capture further modest gains or stabilize near April levels around $1.37M city benchmarks adjusted for the broader metro. Tight supply, tech-sector employment trends, and seasonal sales patterns remain key swing factors in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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