Anthropic holds a commanding market-implied lead for the second-best AI model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related releases continue to top key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-bench Verified scores above 87 percent. Traders view these demonstrated capabilities in complex software engineering and multi-step workflows as giving Claude a durable edge over recent competitors. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro has posted strong results on reasoning tests such as GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 excels in multimodal and agentic tasks, yet neither has displaced Claude’s consistent practical leadership. With the resolution window only weeks away, any new model update or benchmark shift from these labs could quickly alter the current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich company has second best AI model end of June?
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Anthropic 73%
Google 15%
OpenAI 9.3%
xAI 2.8%
$401,009 Wol.
$401,009 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
73%
15%
OpenAI
9%
xAI
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Microsoft
1%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Anthropic 73%
Google 15%
OpenAI 9.3%
xAI 2.8%
$401,009 Wol.
$401,009 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$14,740 Wol.
73%
$5,648 Wol.
15%
OpenAI
$34,207 Wol.
9%
xAI
$14,892 Wol.
3%
DeepSeek
$249,054 Wol.
1%
Microsoft
$5,685 Wol.
1%
Meta
$4,186 Wol.
1%
Alibaba
$6,636 Wol.
1%
Moonshot
$4,922 Wol.
<1%
Z.ai
$9,323 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$34,087 Wol.
<1%
Baidu
$4,429 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$5,557 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$2,909 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$4,734 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding market-implied lead for the second-best AI model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related releases continue to top key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-bench Verified scores above 87 percent. Traders view these demonstrated capabilities in complex software engineering and multi-step workflows as giving Claude a durable edge over recent competitors. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro has posted strong results on reasoning tests such as GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 excels in multimodal and agentic tasks, yet neither has displaced Claude’s consistent practical leadership. With the resolution window only weeks away, any new model update or benchmark shift from these labs could quickly alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$401,009Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic holds a commanding market-implied lead for the second-best AI model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related releases continue to top key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-bench Verified scores above 87 percent. Traders view these demonstrated capabilities in complex software engineering and multi-step workflows as giving Claude a durable edge over recent competitors. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro has posted strong results on reasoning tests such as GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 excels in multimodal and agentic tasks, yet neither has displaced Claude’s consistent practical leadership. With the resolution window only weeks away, any new model update or benchmark shift from these labs could quickly alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Wolumen
$401,009Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic holds a commanding market-implied lead for the second-best AI model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and related releases continue to top key coding and agentic benchmarks, including SWE-bench Verified scores above 87 percent. Traders view these demonstrated capabilities in complex software engineering and multi-step workflows as giving Claude a durable edge over recent competitors. Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro has posted strong results on reasoning tests such as GPQA Diamond and ARC-AGI-2, while OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 excels in multimodal and agentic tasks, yet neither has displaced Claude’s consistent practical leadership. With the resolution window only weeks away, any new model update or benchmark shift from these labs could quickly alter the current trader consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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