Skip to main content

Aby handlować w USA, wejdź na polymarket.us

icon for Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?
Polityka·Trump

Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?

icon for Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?
Polityka·Trump

Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

$1,409,892 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$1,409,892 Wol.

Polymarket

Dan Scavino

$137 Wol.

30%

Pete Hegseth

$128,262 Wol.

26%

Lee Zeldin

$32,279 Wol.

26%

Howard Lutnick

$94,861 Wol.

23%

Susie Wiles

$56,667 Wol.

20%

Kash Patel

$306,169 Wol.

18%

David Sacks

$9,216 Wol.

18%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$91,347 Wol.

17%

Kristi Noem

$98,126 Wol.

15%

Markwayne Mullin

$2,633 Wol.

22%

John Ratcliffe

$572 Wol.

12%

Russell Vought

$284 Wol.

16%

Tom Homan

$253 Wol.

19%

Stephen Miller

$4,151 Wol.

8%

Marco Rubio

$20,390 Wol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$9,208 Wol.

6%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump’s second-term administration has recorded unusually high turnover among Senate-confirmed officials, with 27 departures in roughly 18 months—more than double the pace of his first term—driven by firings over enforcement shortfalls and internal clashes, plus resignations tied to personal circumstances or investigations. Notable 2026 exits include Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, and Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll, alongside multiple Treasury and Defense Department officials. Ongoing friction in the Pentagon, Treasury leadership instability, and the approach of the 2026 midterms continue to factor into assessments of additional changes before December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,409,892
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trump’s second-term administration has recorded unusually high turnover among Senate-confirmed officials, with 27 departures in roughly 18 months—more than double the pace of his first term—driven by firings over enforcement shortfalls and internal clashes, plus resignations tied to personal circumstances or investigations. Notable 2026 exits include Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, Attorney General Pam Bondi, Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt, and Army Secretary Daniel Driscoll, alongside multiple Treasury and Defense Department officials. Ongoing friction in the Pentagon, Treasury leadership instability, and the approach of the 2026 midterms continue to factor into assessments of additional changes before December 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,409,892
Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x65070BE91...

Powiązane

icon for Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%
icon for Trump przestanie być prezydentem przed 2027 rokiem?

Trump przestanie być prezydentem przed 2027 rokiem?

6%
Tak
icon for Czy Trump ustąpi ze stanowiska do 31 grudnia 2026 roku?

Czy Trump ustąpi ze stanowiska do 31 grudnia 2026 roku?

3%
Tak

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 21 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Karoline Leavitt" z 100%, za nim "Tulsi Gabbard" z 100%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?" wygenerował $1.4 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 5, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?", przeglądaj 21 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?" jest "Karoline Leavitt" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Tulsi Gabbard" z 100%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kto odejdzie z administracji Trumpa przed 2027 r.?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.