Skip to main content
icon for Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Polityka·Trump

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

icon for Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Polityka·Trump

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

NOWE
Aug 1, 2026
Polymarket

$29 Wol.

Polymarket

JD Vance

$33 Wol.

65%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$0 Wol.

46%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$0 Wol.

45%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$0 Wol.

45%

Shehbaz Sharif

$0 Wol.

45%

King Abdullah II

$0 Wol.

45%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$0 Wol.

44%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$17 Wol.

44%

Mohammed bin Salman

$0 Wol.

44%

Marco Rubio

$0 Wol.

43%

Masoud Pezeshkian

$0 Wol.

43%

Abbas Araghchi

$0 Wol.

43%

Steve Witkoff

$0 Wol.

43%

Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$0 Wol.

43%

Donald Trump

$0 Wol.

43%

Ali Larijani

$15 Wol.

39%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$0 Wol.

37%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$0 Wol.

28%

Pete Hegseth

$12 Wol.

19%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid a fragile 2026 ceasefire center on an interim memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 8 Pakistan-mediated halt to hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and highly enriched uranium stockpile, and ease certain sanctions or release frozen assets.** President Trump has publicly stated that a framework is largely negotiated and approved at senior levels, with a possible signing ceremony in Europe imminent, while cautioning against rushing final terms. Iranian officials continue to press for simultaneous U.S. concessions and economic relief, citing past U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA, and have linked progress to developments in Lebanon. Direct talks in Islamabad broke down in April, and subsequent proposals have been exchanged without full resolution on enrichment limits or verification. Military pressure from prior U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's internal protests, and global oil-market disruptions remain key background factors shaping the pace of diplomacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$29
Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations amid a fragile 2026 ceasefire center on an interim memorandum of understanding that would extend the April 8 Pakistan-mediated halt to hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, address Iran's nuclear program and highly enriched uranium stockpile, and ease certain sanctions or release frozen assets.** President Trump has publicly stated that a framework is largely negotiated and approved at senior levels, with a possible signing ceremony in Europe imminent, while cautioning against rushing final terms. Iranian officials continue to press for simultaneous U.S. concessions and economic relief, citing past U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA, and have linked progress to developments in Lebanon. Direct talks in Islamabad broke down in April, and subsequent proposals have been exchanged without full resolution on enrichment limits or verification. Military pressure from prior U.S.-Israeli strikes, Iran's internal protests, and global oil-market disruptions remain key background factors shaping the pace of diplomacy.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$29
Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.

Często zadawane pytania

"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 19 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "JD Vance" z 65%, za nim "Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah" z 46%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 65¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 65% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 12, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?", przeglądaj 19 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" jest "JD Vance" z 65%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 65% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah" z 46%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.