**Traders assign an 88.5% probability to “No” because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding launched only a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, enriched-uranium disposition, and related issues, with no final text agreed by mid-August.** The MOU explicitly anticipates a later UN Security Council resolution to endorse any comprehensive agreement and lift prior sanctions resolutions, yet multiple technical and political hurdles remain unresolved, including verification mechanisms, congressional review under INARA, and coordination with other Council members. Earlier 2026 UNSC actions focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than endorsing diplomacy, and recent briefings continue to reference reinstated sanctions resolutions as still in force pending a completed deal. With the 60-day period now concluded amid divergent U.S. and Iranian accounts of progress and no scheduled Council vote on a final accord, the timeline to December 31 offers limited room for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
12% szansa
$173,833 Wol.
$173,833 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
12% szansa
$173,833 Wol.
$173,833 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Traders assign an 88.5% probability to “No” because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding launched only a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, enriched-uranium disposition, and related issues, with no final text agreed by mid-August.** The MOU explicitly anticipates a later UN Security Council resolution to endorse any comprehensive agreement and lift prior sanctions resolutions, yet multiple technical and political hurdles remain unresolved, including verification mechanisms, congressional review under INARA, and coordination with other Council members. Earlier 2026 UNSC actions focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than endorsing diplomacy, and recent briefings continue to reference reinstated sanctions resolutions as still in force pending a completed deal. With the 60-day period now concluded amid divergent U.S. and Iranian accounts of progress and no scheduled Council vote on a final accord, the timeline to December 31 offers limited room for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
Wolumen
$173,833Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
**Traders assign an 88.5% probability to “No” because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding launched only a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, enriched-uranium disposition, and related issues, with no final text agreed by mid-August.** The MOU explicitly anticipates a later UN Security Council resolution to endorse any comprehensive agreement and lift prior sanctions resolutions, yet multiple technical and political hurdles remain unresolved, including verification mechanisms, congressional review under INARA, and coordination with other Council members. Earlier 2026 UNSC actions focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than endorsing diplomacy, and recent briefings continue to reference reinstated sanctions resolutions as still in force pending a completed deal. With the 60-day period now concluded amid divergent U.S. and Iranian accounts of progress and no scheduled Council vote on a final accord, the timeline to December 31 offers limited room for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$173,833Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign an 88.5% probability to “No” because the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding launched only a 60-day negotiation window on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, enriched-uranium disposition, and related issues, with no final text agreed by mid-August.** The MOU explicitly anticipates a later UN Security Council resolution to endorse any comprehensive agreement and lift prior sanctions resolutions, yet multiple technical and political hurdles remain unresolved, including verification mechanisms, congressional review under INARA, and coordination with other Council members. Earlier 2026 UNSC actions focused on condemning Iranian strikes rather than endorsing diplomacy, and recent briefings continue to reference reinstated sanctions resolutions as still in force pending a completed deal. With the 60-day period now concluded amid divergent U.S. and Iranian accounts of progress and no scheduled Council vote on a final accord, the timeline to December 31 offers limited room for the required diplomatic convergence and formal endorsement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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