Israeli forces ordered evacuations in five southern Lebanese towns near Sidon on May 15, 2026, citing Hezbollah ceasefire violations, amid ongoing airstrikes that killed over a dozen in recent days and underscore stalled implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701. Despite the November 2024 truce—extended by a fragile April 2026 agreement—IDF troops remain entrenched in a self-declared security buffer zone south of the Litani River, linking full withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment. Diplomatic talks in Washington continue without progress, as UNIFIL reports thousands of mutual violations, casting doubt on near-term pullout amid escalation risks and UNIFIL's impending mandate end in December 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
$1,474,876 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
10%
$1,474,876 Wol.
May 31
$1,207,781 Wol.
1%
June 30
$192,089 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces ordered evacuations in five southern Lebanese towns near Sidon on May 15, 2026, citing Hezbollah ceasefire violations, amid ongoing airstrikes that killed over a dozen in recent days and underscore stalled implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701. Despite the November 2024 truce—extended by a fragile April 2026 agreement—IDF troops remain entrenched in a self-declared security buffer zone south of the Litani River, linking full withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment. Diplomatic talks in Washington continue without progress, as UNIFIL reports thousands of mutual violations, casting doubt on near-term pullout amid escalation risks and UNIFIL's impending mandate end in December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,474,876Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces ordered evacuations in five southern Lebanese towns near Sidon on May 15, 2026, citing Hezbollah ceasefire violations, amid ongoing airstrikes that killed over a dozen in recent days and underscore stalled implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701. Despite the November 2024 truce—extended by a fragile April 2026 agreement—IDF troops remain entrenched in a self-declared security buffer zone south of the Litani River, linking full withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment. Diplomatic talks in Washington continue without progress, as UNIFIL reports thousands of mutual violations, casting doubt on near-term pullout amid escalation risks and UNIFIL's impending mandate end in December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,474,876Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces ordered evacuations in five southern Lebanese towns near Sidon on May 15, 2026, citing Hezbollah ceasefire violations, amid ongoing airstrikes that killed over a dozen in recent days and underscore stalled implementation of UN Security Council Resolution 1701. Despite the November 2024 truce—extended by a fragile April 2026 agreement—IDF troops remain entrenched in a self-declared security buffer zone south of the Litani River, linking full withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese army deployment. Diplomatic talks in Washington continue without progress, as UNIFIL reports thousands of mutual violations, casting doubt on near-term pullout amid escalation risks and UNIFIL's impending mandate end in December 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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