Anthropic's Claude service has experienced a pattern of occasional degraded performance incidents tied to surging demand and capacity constraints, with two notable events already logged in August 2026 on the official status page alongside resolved elevated errors on models like Opus 5. High 90-day uptime metrics near 99.5% across claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code reflect effective scaling efforts, yet repeated overload-related issues in prior months underscore infrastructure strain amid competitive pressure from other large language models. Traders appear to weigh this history against the low likelihood of frequent full outages, producing closely matched implied probabilities for fewer than five versus five-to-seven downtime days as the month progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Claude go down on __ days in August?
Will Claude go down on __ days in August?
<5 40.8%
5-7 39.6%
8-10 17%
11-13 4.7%
$16,005 Wol.
$16,005 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
<5
41%
5-7
40%
8-10
17%
11-13
5%
14+
1%
<5 40.8%
5-7 39.6%
8-10 17%
11-13 4.7%
$16,005 Wol.
$16,005 Wol.
Aug 31, 2026
<5
$4,674 Wol.
41%
5-7
$4,954 Wol.
40%
8-10
$3,422 Wol.
17%
11-13
$1,240 Wol.
5%
14+
$1,715 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude service has experienced a pattern of occasional degraded performance incidents tied to surging demand and capacity constraints, with two notable events already logged in August 2026 on the official status page alongside resolved elevated errors on models like Opus 5. High 90-day uptime metrics near 99.5% across claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code reflect effective scaling efforts, yet repeated overload-related issues in prior months underscore infrastructure strain amid competitive pressure from other large language models. Traders appear to weigh this history against the low likelihood of frequent full outages, producing closely matched implied probabilities for fewer than five versus five-to-seven downtime days as the month progresses.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$16,005Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Anthropic's Claude service has experienced a pattern of occasional degraded performance incidents tied to surging demand and capacity constraints, with two notable events already logged in August 2026 on the official status page alongside resolved elevated errors on models like Opus 5. High 90-day uptime metrics near 99.5% across claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code reflect effective scaling efforts, yet repeated overload-related issues in prior months underscore infrastructure strain amid competitive pressure from other large language models. Traders appear to weigh this history against the low likelihood of frequent full outages, producing closely matched implied probabilities for fewer than five versus five-to-seven downtime days as the month progresses.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Wolumen
$16,005Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude service has experienced a pattern of occasional degraded performance incidents tied to surging demand and capacity constraints, with two notable events already logged in August 2026 on the official status page alongside resolved elevated errors on models like Opus 5. High 90-day uptime metrics near 99.5% across claude.ai, the API, and Claude Code reflect effective scaling efforts, yet repeated overload-related issues in prior months underscore infrastructure strain amid competitive pressure from other large language models. Traders appear to weigh this history against the low likelihood of frequent full outages, producing closely matched implied probabilities for fewer than five versus five-to-seven downtime days as the month progresses.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania