Tight cattle inventories and constrained U.S. beef production continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with the USDA forecasting a 10.1% average increase and output at 25.79 billion pounds, down from prior levels. Retail averages have climbed to $6.70–$6.90 per pound through April, reflecting resilient consumer demand despite affordability pressures and record herd liquidation. Imports of lean trim are rising to support grind supply, yet they have not offset the supply shortfall. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations that prices could test $7 or higher during peak summer grilling months, driven by feed costs, export strength, and limited near-term herd rebuilding. Key upcoming catalysts include June–August BLS CPI releases and any shifts in trade policy or consumer substitution trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,701 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
56%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
15%
$18,701 Wol.
$7.000+
$50 Wol.
76%
$8.000+
$1,518 Wol.
56%
$9.000+
$22 Wol.
38%
$10.000+
$17,111 Wol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories and constrained U.S. beef production continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with the USDA forecasting a 10.1% average increase and output at 25.79 billion pounds, down from prior levels. Retail averages have climbed to $6.70–$6.90 per pound through April, reflecting resilient consumer demand despite affordability pressures and record herd liquidation. Imports of lean trim are rising to support grind supply, yet they have not offset the supply shortfall. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations that prices could test $7 or higher during peak summer grilling months, driven by feed costs, export strength, and limited near-term herd rebuilding. Key upcoming catalysts include June–August BLS CPI releases and any shifts in trade policy or consumer substitution trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,701Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories and constrained U.S. beef production continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with the USDA forecasting a 10.1% average increase and output at 25.79 billion pounds, down from prior levels. Retail averages have climbed to $6.70–$6.90 per pound through April, reflecting resilient consumer demand despite affordability pressures and record herd liquidation. Imports of lean trim are rising to support grind supply, yet they have not offset the supply shortfall. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations that prices could test $7 or higher during peak summer grilling months, driven by feed costs, export strength, and limited near-term herd rebuilding. Key upcoming catalysts include June–August BLS CPI releases and any shifts in trade policy or consumer substitution trends.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$18,701Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle inventories and constrained U.S. beef production continue to anchor elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with the USDA forecasting a 10.1% average increase and output at 25.79 billion pounds, down from prior levels. Retail averages have climbed to $6.70–$6.90 per pound through April, reflecting resilient consumer demand despite affordability pressures and record herd liquidation. Imports of lean trim are rising to support grind supply, yet they have not offset the supply shortfall. Market-implied odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations that prices could test $7 or higher during peak summer grilling months, driven by feed costs, export strength, and limited near-term herd rebuilding. Key upcoming catalysts include June–August BLS CPI releases and any shifts in trade policy or consumer substitution trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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