The prospect of Democrats gaining control of the House in the November 2026 midterm elections forms the central driver behind the 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. With Republicans holding only a narrow majority in the current Congress, any shift in chamber control would likely enable Democratic leadership to advance resolutions on issues such as foreign policy actions, tariffs, and executive authority. Multiple impeachment filings introduced since early 2025 have stalled without floor consideration, consistent with historical patterns when the president's party retains the majority. Traders weigh these midterm dynamics and public polling trends against the structural requirement of a simple House majority vote, viewing a post-2026 flip as the most plausible path to proceedings while accounting for Senate conviction thresholds that remain unchanged.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$62,328 Wol.
$62,328 Wol.
Jan 20, 2029
$62,328 Wol.
$62,328 Wol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The prospect of Democrats gaining control of the House in the November 2026 midterm elections forms the central driver behind the 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. With Republicans holding only a narrow majority in the current Congress, any shift in chamber control would likely enable Democratic leadership to advance resolutions on issues such as foreign policy actions, tariffs, and executive authority. Multiple impeachment filings introduced since early 2025 have stalled without floor consideration, consistent with historical patterns when the president's party retains the majority. Traders weigh these midterm dynamics and public polling trends against the structural requirement of a simple House majority vote, viewing a post-2026 flip as the most plausible path to proceedings while accounting for Senate conviction thresholds that remain unchanged.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$62,328Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.The prospect of Democrats gaining control of the House in the November 2026 midterm elections forms the central driver behind the 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. With Republicans holding only a narrow majority in the current Congress, any shift in chamber control would likely enable Democratic leadership to advance resolutions on issues such as foreign policy actions, tariffs, and executive authority. Multiple impeachment filings introduced since early 2025 have stalled without floor consideration, consistent with historical patterns when the president's party retains the majority. Traders weigh these midterm dynamics and public polling trends against the structural requirement of a simple House majority vote, viewing a post-2026 flip as the most plausible path to proceedings while accounting for Senate conviction thresholds that remain unchanged.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$62,328Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The prospect of Democrats gaining control of the House in the November 2026 midterm elections forms the central driver behind the 64 percent implied probability that the House will approve articles of impeachment against President Trump before January 2029. With Republicans holding only a narrow majority in the current Congress, any shift in chamber control would likely enable Democratic leadership to advance resolutions on issues such as foreign policy actions, tariffs, and executive authority. Multiple impeachment filings introduced since early 2025 have stalled without floor consideration, consistent with historical patterns when the president's party retains the majority. Traders weigh these midterm dynamics and public polling trends against the structural requirement of a simple House majority vote, viewing a post-2026 flip as the most plausible path to proceedings while accounting for Senate conviction thresholds that remain unchanged.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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