Republican control of the House under Speaker Mike Johnson forms the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP loyalty and party discipline make unattainable without extraordinary bipartisan defection. Symbolic articles of impeachment filed by Democrats like Rep. John Larson in early April failed to gain traction amid leadership resistance and lack of committee advancement, with no procedural progress in the past month. The compressed timeline to June 30 further solidifies trader consensus at 98.6% "No," reflecting institutional realities over partisan polling. Realistic shifts could stem from a late-breaking scandal triggering GOP holdouts or abrupt leadership changes, though historical precedent shows such reversals rare mid-session.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$354,197 Wol.
$354,197 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
$354,197 Wol.
$354,197 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House under Speaker Mike Johnson forms the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP loyalty and party discipline make unattainable without extraordinary bipartisan defection. Symbolic articles of impeachment filed by Democrats like Rep. John Larson in early April failed to gain traction amid leadership resistance and lack of committee advancement, with no procedural progress in the past month. The compressed timeline to June 30 further solidifies trader consensus at 98.6% "No," reflecting institutional realities over partisan polling. Realistic shifts could stem from a late-breaking scandal triggering GOP holdouts or abrupt leadership changes, though historical precedent shows such reversals rare mid-session.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
Wolumen
$354,197Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House under Speaker Mike Johnson forms the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP loyalty and party discipline make unattainable without extraordinary bipartisan defection. Symbolic articles of impeachment filed by Democrats like Rep. John Larson in early April failed to gain traction amid leadership resistance and lack of committee advancement, with no procedural progress in the past month. The compressed timeline to June 30 further solidifies trader consensus at 98.6% "No," reflecting institutional realities over partisan polling. Realistic shifts could stem from a late-breaking scandal triggering GOP holdouts or abrupt leadership changes, though historical precedent shows such reversals rare mid-session.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$354,197Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House under Speaker Mike Johnson forms the primary barrier to impeachment, requiring a simple majority vote that GOP loyalty and party discipline make unattainable without extraordinary bipartisan defection. Symbolic articles of impeachment filed by Democrats like Rep. John Larson in early April failed to gain traction amid leadership resistance and lack of committee advancement, with no procedural progress in the past month. The compressed timeline to June 30 further solidifies trader consensus at 98.6% "No," reflecting institutional realities over partisan polling. Realistic shifts could stem from a late-breaking scandal triggering GOP holdouts or abrupt leadership changes, though historical precedent shows such reversals rare mid-session.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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