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icon for Trump approval rating on July 3?

Trump approval rating on July 3?

icon for Trump approval rating on July 3?

Trump approval rating on July 3?

39.5–39.9 49%

40.0+ 46%

<38.0 45%

38.0–38.4 45%

Polymarket
NOWE

39.5–39.9 49%

40.0+ 46%

<38.0 45%

38.0–38.4 45%

Polymarket
NOWE

<38.0

$0 Wol.

45%

38.0–38.4

$0 Wol.

45%

38.5–38.9

$0 Wol.

43%

39.0–39.4

$0 Wol.

44%

39.5–39.9

$0 Wol.

49%

40.0+

$0 Wol.

46%

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls place President Trump’s job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late June 2026, with averages near 38% amid net disapproval in the upper 50s. Trader sentiment for the July 3 reading remains tightly balanced across 38–40 ranges because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on support while partisan divides limit further erosion. Developments in the Iran conflict and mixed signals on border security and the economy have produced incremental weekly fluctuations rather than decisive shifts. With only days until the target date, any new national survey releases or major policy announcements could separate the leading bins by altering the final weekly average.

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 3, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Trump approval rating on July 3?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "39.5–39.9" z 49%, za nim "40.0+" z 46%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 49¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Trump approval rating on July 3?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Jun 26, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Trump approval rating on July 3?", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Trump approval rating on July 3?" jest "39.5–39.9" z 49%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "40.0+" z 46%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Trump approval rating on July 3?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.