Traders see Mandela Barnes leading the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor due to his prior statewide visibility as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate nominee, which has translated into stronger early name recognition and donor support compared with challengers. Recent April polling from Marquette Law School showed Francesca Hong slightly ahead among decided voters but with 65 percent undecided, while Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez has sought to highlight electability concerns about both frontrunners in a general election matchup. Endorsements for Hong from national progressives and for Kelda Roys from the state teachers union have sharpened distinctions on issues such as child care and education policy, yet the wide field and limited voter attention keep the race fluid. Upcoming campaign events and further polling shifts before the primary could still alter the current trader consensus reflected in these prices.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMandela Barnes 50%
Francesca Hong 32.4%
Sara Rodriguez 15%
David Crowley 3.1%
$56,986 Wol.
$56,986 Wol.
Mandela Barnes
50%
Francesca Hong
32%
Sara Rodriguez
15%
David Crowley
3%
Joel Brennan
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
Mandela Barnes 50%
Francesca Hong 32.4%
Sara Rodriguez 15%
David Crowley 3.1%
$56,986 Wol.
$56,986 Wol.
Mandela Barnes
50%
Francesca Hong
32%
Sara Rodriguez
15%
David Crowley
3%
Joel Brennan
1%
Chris Larson
1%
Zachary Roper
1%
Tim Jacobson
<1%
Melissa Agard
<1%
Kelda Roys
<1%
Tom Nelson
<1%
Missy Hughes
<1%
Brett Hulsey
<1%
If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wisconsin Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders see Mandela Barnes leading the August 11 Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor due to his prior statewide visibility as lieutenant governor and 2022 Senate nominee, which has translated into stronger early name recognition and donor support compared with challengers. Recent April polling from Marquette Law School showed Francesca Hong slightly ahead among decided voters but with 65 percent undecided, while Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez has sought to highlight electability concerns about both frontrunners in a general election matchup. Endorsements for Hong from national progressives and for Kelda Roys from the state teachers union have sharpened distinctions on issues such as child care and education policy, yet the wide field and limited voter attention keep the race fluid. Upcoming campaign events and further polling shifts before the primary could still alter the current trader consensus reflected in these prices.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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