Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face ongoing narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment, with a pretrial hearing scheduled for November 17, 2026. Trader sentiment centers on bail determinations, potential plea negotiations, trial timelines, and any diplomatic or executive actions that could alter detention status before year-end. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or extraterritorial cases, combined with the absence of recent court orders granting release, shape assessments of near-term outcomes amid standard federal pretrial detention rules.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?
A esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?
$1,375,008 Vol.
30 jan 2026
31 de dezembro
16%
$1,375,008 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$328,407 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face ongoing narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment, with a pretrial hearing scheduled for November 17, 2026. Trader sentiment centers on bail determinations, potential plea negotiations, trial timelines, and any diplomatic or executive actions that could alter detention status before year-end. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or extraterritorial cases, combined with the absence of recent court orders granting release, shape assessments of near-term outcomes amid standard federal pretrial detention rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,375,008Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face ongoing narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment, with a pretrial hearing scheduled for November 17, 2026. Trader sentiment centers on bail determinations, potential plea negotiations, trial timelines, and any diplomatic or executive actions that could alter detention status before year-end. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or extraterritorial cases, combined with the absence of recent court orders granting release, shape assessments of near-term outcomes amid standard federal pretrial detention rules.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,375,008Data de Término
31 jan 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture alongside Nicolás Maduro during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. Both face ongoing narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges in Manhattan federal court after pleading not guilty at their January 5 arraignment, with a pretrial hearing scheduled for November 17, 2026. Trader sentiment centers on bail determinations, potential plea negotiations, trial timelines, and any diplomatic or executive actions that could alter detention status before year-end. Historical patterns in high-profile extradition or extraterritorial cases, combined with the absence of recent court orders granting release, shape assessments of near-term outcomes amid standard federal pretrial detention rules.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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