Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture by American forces alongside Nicolás Maduro during a military operation in Caracas. Both face narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, where they entered not guilty pleas at their January arraignment and subsequent March hearing. No bail application has been granted, and the pretrial process is expected to extend well beyond 2026 absent a plea agreement or other resolution. Traders weigh the deliberate pace of U.S. judicial proceedings in such cases, potential diplomatic pressure from Venezuela’s allies, and any indications of cooperation against the absence of scheduled trial dates or release milestones through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA esposa de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libertada da custódia por...?
$1,312,639 Vol.
31 de dezembro
26%
$1,312,639 Vol.
31 de dezembro
26%
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Cilia Flores remains in U.S. federal pretrial detention at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn following her January 3, 2026 capture by American forces alongside Nicolás Maduro during a military operation in Caracas. Both face narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges in Manhattan federal court, where they entered not guilty pleas at their January arraignment and subsequent March hearing. No bail application has been granted, and the pretrial process is expected to extend well beyond 2026 absent a plea agreement or other resolution. Traders weigh the deliberate pace of U.S. judicial proceedings in such cases, potential diplomatic pressure from Venezuela’s allies, and any indications of cooperation against the absence of scheduled trial dates or release milestones through year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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