Kevin Warsh’s August 28 Jackson Hole keynote unfolds against elevated U.S. inflation near 3.5% year-over-year and a 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range left unchanged by a divided FOMC in July, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. Markets price limited odds of a September move while traders assess whether Warsh, who has stressed regime change, data independence, and “no tolerance” for persistent price pressures, will deliver structural framework remarks or any implicit signal ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC. Recent communications, including post-July statements that the Fed is “not constrained by market prices,” reinforce expectations of reduced forward guidance relative to prior chairs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBank / Asset 10+ times
55%
Task Force 5+ times
65%
Stable 5+ times
16%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
61%
Challenge
58%
Framework
75%
Prediction / Predictive
28%
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
48%
Regime
78%
Integrity
28%
Productivity
78%
Independent / Independence
74%
2008 / Financial Crisis
46%
Good Day
35%
Good Morning
59%
Trump
4%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
16%
Gold
7%
Too Late
8%
-No Qualifying Event-
50%
$9,274 Vol.
Bank / Asset 10+ times
55%
Task Force 5+ times
65%
Stable 5+ times
16%
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
61%
Challenge
58%
Framework
75%
Prediction / Predictive
28%
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
48%
Regime
78%
Integrity
28%
Productivity
78%
Independent / Independence
74%
2008 / Financial Crisis
46%
Good Day
35%
Good Morning
59%
Trump
4%
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
16%
Gold
7%
Too Late
8%
-No Qualifying Event-
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Mercado Aberto: Aug 18, 2026, 10:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh’s August 28 Jackson Hole keynote unfolds against elevated U.S. inflation near 3.5% year-over-year and a 3.50–3.75% federal funds target range left unchanged by a divided FOMC in July, with three members dissenting in favor of a 25-basis-point hike. Markets price limited odds of a September move while traders assess whether Warsh, who has stressed regime change, data independence, and “no tolerance” for persistent price pressures, will deliver structural framework remarks or any implicit signal ahead of the September 15–16 FOMC. Recent communications, including post-July statements that the Fed is “not constrained by market prices,” reinforce expectations of reduced forward guidance relative to prior chairs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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