President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over unproven pre-office mortgage fraud allegations has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on related prediction markets. Following the Supreme Court's June 2026 5-4 ruling affirming due-process protections and Fed independence, the White House issued a formal notice granting Cook until late August to respond, setting up a fresh legal test of "for cause" removal standards. Markets are pricing the balance between executive pressure on monetary policy and institutional safeguards, with Cook's term extending to 2038. Key near-term catalysts include her response deadline, potential court filings, and any signals from incoming FOMC communications or Treasury yields reflecting shifts in rate-path expectations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoNOVO
30 set 2026
30 de setembro
1%
31 de outubro
3%
30 de novembro
7%
31 de dezembro
6%
$4,306 Vol.
30 de setembro
$1,192 Vol.
1%
31 de outubro
$1,180 Vol.
3%
30 de novembro
$939 Vol.
7%
31 de dezembro
$996 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over unproven pre-office mortgage fraud allegations has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on related prediction markets. Following the Supreme Court's June 2026 5-4 ruling affirming due-process protections and Fed independence, the White House issued a formal notice granting Cook until late August to respond, setting up a fresh legal test of "for cause" removal standards. Markets are pricing the balance between executive pressure on monetary policy and institutional safeguards, with Cook's term extending to 2038. Key near-term catalysts include her response deadline, potential court filings, and any signals from incoming FOMC communications or Treasury yields reflecting shifts in rate-path expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Volume
$4,306Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over unproven pre-office mortgage fraud allegations has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on related prediction markets. Following the Supreme Court's June 2026 5-4 ruling affirming due-process protections and Fed independence, the White House issued a formal notice granting Cook until late August to respond, setting up a fresh legal test of "for cause" removal standards. Markets are pricing the balance between executive pressure on monetary policy and institutional safeguards, with Cook's term extending to 2038. Key near-term catalysts include her response deadline, potential court filings, and any signals from incoming FOMC communications or Treasury yields reflecting shifts in rate-path expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volume
$4,306Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over unproven pre-office mortgage fraud allegations has emerged as the dominant driver of trader sentiment on related prediction markets. Following the Supreme Court's June 2026 5-4 ruling affirming due-process protections and Fed independence, the White House issued a formal notice granting Cook until late August to respond, setting up a fresh legal test of "for cause" removal standards. Markets are pricing the balance between executive pressure on monetary policy and institutional safeguards, with Cook's term extending to 2038. Key near-term catalysts include her response deadline, potential court filings, and any signals from incoming FOMC communications or Treasury yields reflecting shifts in rate-path expectations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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