Recent volatility in SpaceX's post-IPO valuation and Tesla's stock price around $340 per share forms the core driver behind the closely matched 31% odds on Elon Musk reaching either the $800-900 billion or $900 billion-$1 trillion range by August 31. After peaking above $1.4 trillion following the June SpaceX listing, his net worth fell sharply due to private share declines, with current estimates from Forbes and Bloomberg hovering near $860 billion. Traders weigh ongoing EV market competition, potential robotaxi and AI progress at Tesla and xAI, and SpaceX stability against broader market swings. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over short-term asset repricing in the remaining two weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoElon Musk Net Worth on August 31?
$800-$900B 32%
$900B-$1.00T 31.4%
$700-$800B 16%
$1.10T+ 7.8%
$42,867 Vol.
$42,867 Vol.
<$600B
3%
$600-$700B
8%
$700-$800B
16%
$800-$900B
32%
$900B-$1.00T
31%
$1.00-$1.10T
6%
$1.10T+
8%
$800-$900B 32%
$900B-$1.00T 31.4%
$700-$800B 16%
$1.10T+ 7.8%
$42,867 Vol.
$42,867 Vol.
<$600B
3%
$600-$700B
8%
$700-$800B
16%
$800-$900B
32%
$900B-$1.00T
31%
$1.00-$1.10T
6%
$1.10T+
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 29, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent volatility in SpaceX's post-IPO valuation and Tesla's stock price around $340 per share forms the core driver behind the closely matched 31% odds on Elon Musk reaching either the $800-900 billion or $900 billion-$1 trillion range by August 31. After peaking above $1.4 trillion following the June SpaceX listing, his net worth fell sharply due to private share declines, with current estimates from Forbes and Bloomberg hovering near $860 billion. Traders weigh ongoing EV market competition, potential robotaxi and AI progress at Tesla and xAI, and SpaceX stability against broader market swings. The tight spread reflects uncertainty over short-term asset repricing in the remaining two weeks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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