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icon for 2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

icon for 2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?

Larry Page 37%

Warren Buffett 22.8%

Elon Musk 17%

Mark Zuckerberg 11%

Polymarket

$41,439 Vol.

Larry Page 37%

Warren Buffett 22.8%

Elon Musk 17%

Mark Zuckerberg 11%

Polymarket

$41,439 Vol.

icon for Larry Page

Larry Page

$20,684 Vol.

37%

icon for Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett

$1,266 Vol.

23%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$609 Vol.

15%

icon for Mark Zuckerberg

Mark Zuckerberg

$317 Vol.

11%

icon for Larry Ellison

Larry Ellison

$582 Vol.

8%

icon for Sergey Brin

Sergey Brin

$6,795 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Arnault

Bernard Arnault

$561 Vol.

1%

icon for Jensen Huang

Jensen Huang

$662 Vol.

<1%

icon for Steve Ballmer

Steve Ballmer

$525 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jeff Bezos

Jeff Bezos

$9,437 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus favors Larry Page as the frontrunner for second-richest person on December 31 at 37% implied probability, driven by Alphabet's explosive AI momentum, including a 63% Google Cloud revenue surge in Q1 2026 earnings that propelled shares to record highs near $400 and pushed Page's net worth past $300 billion for the first time last month. Jeff Bezos trails closely at 33%, buoyed by Amazon's AWS dominance amid e-commerce recovery, while Sergey Brin (25%) benefits from similar Alphabet tailwinds. Mark Zuckerberg (24%) and Warren Buffett (23%) vie in a tight pack, with Meta's social AI bets and Berkshire's steady value play as key differentiators. Upcoming Q2 earnings and tech stock volatility through year-end could swing the competitive dynamics, as growth stocks face rate sensitivity and AI hype cycles.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$41,439
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Trader consensus favors Larry Page as the frontrunner for second-richest person on December 31 at 37% implied probability, driven by Alphabet's explosive AI momentum, including a 63% Google Cloud revenue surge in Q1 2026 earnings that propelled shares to record highs near $400 and pushed Page's net worth past $300 billion for the first time last month. Jeff Bezos trails closely at 33%, buoyed by Amazon's AWS dominance amid e-commerce recovery, while Sergey Brin (25%) benefits from similar Alphabet tailwinds. Mark Zuckerberg (24%) and Warren Buffett (23%) vie in a tight pack, with Meta's social AI bets and Berkshire's steady value play as key differentiators. Upcoming Q2 earnings and tech stock volatility through year-end could swing the competitive dynamics, as growth stocks face rate sensitivity and AI hype cycles.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
Volume
$41,439
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Larry Page" at 37%, followed by "Jeff Bezos" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" has generated $41.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" is "Larry Page" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeff Bezos" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2ª pessoa mais rica em 31 de dezembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.