Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado160-179 36.9%
180-199 31%
200-219 14%
140-159 12.9%
$3,872,488 Vol.
$3,872,488 Vol.
16 jun 2026
120-139
2%
140-159
13%
160-179
37%
180-199
31%
200-219
14%
220-239
3%
240-259
1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
160-179 36.9%
180-199 31%
200-219 14%
140-159 12.9%
$3,872,488 Vol.
$3,872,488 Vol.
16 jun 2026
120-139
$361,748 Vol.
2%
140-159
$257,363 Vol.
13%
160-179
$150,478 Vol.
37%
180-199
$137,408 Vol.
31%
200-219
$151,434 Vol.
14%
220-239
$157,096 Vol.
3%
240-259
$140,265 Vol.
1%
260-279
$140,014 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$136,234 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$165,290 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$163,953 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$125,368 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$127,949 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$142,289 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$98,065 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$74,830 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$58,625 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$136,818 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$87,058 Vol.
<1%
500+
$160,416 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$3,872,488Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 9 12:00 PM ET to June 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,872,488Data de Término
16 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume posting on X, driven by real-time reactions to SpaceX milestones and political commentary, anchors trader expectations for the June 9–16 window near the 160–199 tweet range. Recent activity includes multiple replies on satellite records, UK politics, and cultural debates, maintaining his typical pace of 20–30 posts daily amid ongoing company news flow. With the period more than halfway complete and no major disruptions or rate-limit changes reported, the tight 36.9% and 30.5% probabilities on the leading bins reflect market consensus around steady engagement rather than spikes. Upcoming catalysts like potential Starship updates or broader news cycles could nudge totals higher, though historical patterns show limited variance week to week absent extraordinary events.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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