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icon for Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?

Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?

icon for Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?

Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?

jun 30

jun 30

$448,517 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$448,517 Vol.

Polymarket

18 de junho

$1,535 Vol.

94%

25 de junho

$145 Vol.

93%

27 de junho

$150 Vol.

93%

10 de junho

$12,558 Vol.

92%

11 de junho

$4,022 Vol.

94%

12 de junho

$3,480 Vol.

93%

13 de junho

$1,660 Vol.

93%

14 de junho

$1,406 Vol.

93%

15 de junho

$2,835 Vol.

92%

16 de junho

$284 Vol.

92%

17 de junho

$813 Vol.

93%

19 de junho

$232 Vol.

92%

20 de junho

$190 Vol.

92%

21 de junho

$2,235 Vol.

92%

22 de junho

$322 Vol.

92%

23 de junho

$149 Vol.

92%

24 de junho

$179 Vol.

92%

26 de junho

$207 Vol.

92%

28 de junho

$768 Vol.

93%

29 de junho

$1,328 Vol.

92%

30 de junho

$173 Vol.

92%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term has featured a sharp rise in confrontational public rhetoric, including frequent personal characterizations of journalists and critics during interviews and on social media. Recent examples include his abrupt exit from a June 2026 Meet the Press interview, where he labeled the moderator "crooked or stupid" amid questions on election claims, alongside similar exchanges with other reporters. This pattern, documented in analyses of speeches and posts showing elevated use of insults and profanity compared to his first term, underpins trader assessments of daily probabilities. Scheduled media appearances and ongoing policy debates could prompt further direct statements, while the absence of major restraint mechanisms keeps the dynamic fluid.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$448,517
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's second term has featured a sharp rise in confrontational public rhetoric, including frequent personal characterizations of journalists and critics during interviews and on social media. Recent examples include his abrupt exit from a June 2026 Meet the Press interview, where he labeled the moderator "crooked or stupid" amid questions on election claims, alongside similar exchanges with other reporters. This pattern, documented in analyses of speeches and posts showing elevated use of insults and profanity compared to his first term, underpins trader assessments of daily probabilities. Scheduled media appearances and ongoing policy debates could prompt further direct statements, while the absence of major restraint mechanisms keeps the dynamic fluid.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$448,517
Data de Término
30 jun 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2 de junho" at 100%, followed by "3 de junho" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" has generated $448.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" is "2 de junho" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3 de junho" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump insultará publicamente alguém em...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.