President Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely in April 2026 after an initial two-week pause brokered via Pakistan, amid ongoing tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program. The truce has faced repeated violations, including recent June exchanges of strikes between Iran and Israel, a US helicopter incident prompting retaliatory American action, and intermittent naval friction. Negotiations continue indirectly, with Trump describing progress toward a deal involving reopened maritime routes and further talks, while urging Israeli restraint and signaling the pause could end if American forces face direct attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions and any escalation in Lebanon or the Gulf remain key variables for shifts in the fragile status.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTrump anuncia cessar-fogo EUA x Irã até...?
Trump anuncia cessar-fogo EUA x Irã até...?
NOVO
$574,461 Vol.
13 jun 2026
12 de junho
6%
15 de junho
13%
30 de junho
21%
$574,461 Vol.
12 de junho
$317,589 Vol.
6%
15 de junho
$163,472 Vol.
13%
30 de junho
$83,868 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.President Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely in April 2026 after an initial two-week pause brokered via Pakistan, amid ongoing tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program. The truce has faced repeated violations, including recent June exchanges of strikes between Iran and Israel, a US helicopter incident prompting retaliatory American action, and intermittent naval friction. Negotiations continue indirectly, with Trump describing progress toward a deal involving reopened maritime routes and further talks, while urging Israeli restraint and signaling the pause could end if American forces face direct attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions and any escalation in Lebanon or the Gulf remain key variables for shifts in the fragile status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 8, 2026, 9:53 PM ET
Volume
$574,461Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 9:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.President Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely in April 2026 after an initial two-week pause brokered via Pakistan, amid ongoing tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program. The truce has faced repeated violations, including recent June exchanges of strikes between Iran and Israel, a US helicopter incident prompting retaliatory American action, and intermittent naval friction. Negotiations continue indirectly, with Trump describing progress toward a deal involving reopened maritime routes and further talks, while urging Israeli restraint and signaling the pause could end if American forces face direct attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions and any escalation in Lebanon or the Gulf remain key variables for shifts in the fragile status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. publicly and officially announces, between Market Creation and the End Date (11:59 PM ET) that no ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is in effect. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that there is no longer any commitment in effect between the U.S. and Iran to refrain from military hostilities.
Statements that the US is no longer committed to such an agreement will qualify.
The expiration of a prior agreed ceasefire period without extension will not alone qualify.
Statements that merely reference violations, breaches, or non-compliance with the ceasefire will not alone qualify.
Announcements of a new agreement (e.g, a broader peace framework or ceasefire extension) that supersedes the initial ceasefire agreement while maintaining a mutual commitment to a halt in military hostilities will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Donald Trump, the U.S. government and the U.S. military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, and leaks will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g., posts from his personal Truth Social account), and videos posted on his social media accounts, will qualify.
Note: this market will resolve solely based on whether a qualifying announcement is made within the specified timeframe. Whether the ceasefire actually ends in practice or whether hostilities resume will not be considered.
Volume
$574,461Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 8, 2026, 9:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump extended the US-Iran ceasefire indefinitely in April 2026 after an initial two-week pause brokered via Pakistan, amid ongoing tensions over the Strait of Hormuz and Iran's nuclear program. The truce has faced repeated violations, including recent June exchanges of strikes between Iran and Israel, a US helicopter incident prompting retaliatory American action, and intermittent naval friction. Negotiations continue indirectly, with Trump describing progress toward a deal involving reopened maritime routes and further talks, while urging Israeli restraint and signaling the pause could end if American forces face direct attacks. Upcoming diplomatic sessions and any escalation in Lebanon or the Gulf remain key variables for shifts in the fragile status.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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