Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands on uranium enrichment limits, existing stockpiles, and verification measures, with the latest round in Rome producing no breakthrough. Iranian officials have described the talks as deadlocked on enrichment rights, while U.S. statements emphasize the need for substantial curbs or a moratorium before any sanctions relief or broader agreement. Recent proposals have deferred detailed nuclear provisions to a 30-day follow-up phase, yet significant gaps persist on timelines and compliance. These unresolved differences, combined with warnings from U.S. officials about limited patience, underpin trader consensus that a full nuclear deal is unlikely to materialize by June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAcordo nuclear EUA-Irã até 30 de junho?
Acordo nuclear EUA-Irã até 30 de junho?
Sim
$1,858,005 Vol.
$1,858,005 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$1,858,005 Vol.
$1,858,005 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands on uranium enrichment limits, existing stockpiles, and verification measures, with the latest round in Rome producing no breakthrough. Iranian officials have described the talks as deadlocked on enrichment rights, while U.S. statements emphasize the need for substantial curbs or a moratorium before any sanctions relief or broader agreement. Recent proposals have deferred detailed nuclear provisions to a 30-day follow-up phase, yet significant gaps persist on timelines and compliance. These unresolved differences, combined with warnings from U.S. officials about limited patience, underpin trader consensus that a full nuclear deal is unlikely to materialize by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,858,005Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands on uranium enrichment limits, existing stockpiles, and verification measures, with the latest round in Rome producing no breakthrough. Iranian officials have described the talks as deadlocked on enrichment rights, while U.S. statements emphasize the need for substantial curbs or a moratorium before any sanctions relief or broader agreement. Recent proposals have deferred detailed nuclear provisions to a 30-day follow-up phase, yet significant gaps persist on timelines and compliance. These unresolved differences, combined with warnings from U.S. officials about limited patience, underpin trader consensus that a full nuclear deal is unlikely to materialize by June 30.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$1,858,005Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations between the United States and Iran remain stalled over core demands on uranium enrichment limits, existing stockpiles, and verification measures, with the latest round in Rome producing no breakthrough. Iranian officials have described the talks as deadlocked on enrichment rights, while U.S. statements emphasize the need for substantial curbs or a moratorium before any sanctions relief or broader agreement. Recent proposals have deferred detailed nuclear provisions to a 30-day follow-up phase, yet significant gaps persist on timelines and compliance. These unresolved differences, combined with warnings from U.S. officials about limited patience, underpin trader consensus that a full nuclear deal is unlikely to materialize by June 30.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions