**Traders assign only a 7.6% chance that Congress will enact an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the legislative calendar leaves almost no runway for the required steps.** The House passed a concurrent resolution (H.Con.Res. 86) on June 3 directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities against Iran, but the measure must still clear the Senate, where a related joint resolution (S.J.Res. 185) was only discharged from committee on May 19. Senate leaders have not scheduled a final floor vote on either measure, and any passed text would need identical concurrence between chambers before the deadline. Even if the Senate acts, a joint resolution faces a near-certain presidential veto with little prospect of override, while a concurrent resolution lacks binding legal force under most interpretations of the War Powers Resolution. With just 16 days remaining, entrenched partisan divisions, competing floor priorities, and the requirement for expedited but still time-consuming procedures make completion by June 30 highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSim
$126,432 Vol.
$126,432 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sim
$126,432 Vol.
$126,432 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Traders assign only a 7.6% chance that Congress will enact an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the legislative calendar leaves almost no runway for the required steps.** The House passed a concurrent resolution (H.Con.Res. 86) on June 3 directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities against Iran, but the measure must still clear the Senate, where a related joint resolution (S.J.Res. 185) was only discharged from committee on May 19. Senate leaders have not scheduled a final floor vote on either measure, and any passed text would need identical concurrence between chambers before the deadline.
Even if the Senate acts, a joint resolution faces a near-certain presidential veto with little prospect of override, while a concurrent resolution lacks binding legal force under most interpretations of the War Powers Resolution. With just 16 days remaining, entrenched partisan divisions, competing floor priorities, and the requirement for expedited but still time-consuming procedures make completion by June 30 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$126,432Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.**Traders assign only a 7.6% chance that Congress will enact an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the legislative calendar leaves almost no runway for the required steps.** The House passed a concurrent resolution (H.Con.Res. 86) on June 3 directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities against Iran, but the measure must still clear the Senate, where a related joint resolution (S.J.Res. 185) was only discharged from committee on May 19. Senate leaders have not scheduled a final floor vote on either measure, and any passed text would need identical concurrence between chambers before the deadline.
Even if the Senate acts, a joint resolution faces a near-certain presidential veto with little prospect of override, while a concurrent resolution lacks binding legal force under most interpretations of the War Powers Resolution. With just 16 days remaining, entrenched partisan divisions, competing floor priorities, and the requirement for expedited but still time-consuming procedures make completion by June 30 highly improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$126,432Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign only a 7.6% chance that Congress will enact an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because the legislative calendar leaves almost no runway for the required steps.** The House passed a concurrent resolution (H.Con.Res. 86) on June 3 directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities against Iran, but the measure must still clear the Senate, where a related joint resolution (S.J.Res. 185) was only discharged from committee on May 19. Senate leaders have not scheduled a final floor vote on either measure, and any passed text would need identical concurrence between chambers before the deadline. Even if the Senate acts, a joint resolution faces a near-certain presidential veto with little prospect of override, while a concurrent resolution lacks binding legal force under most interpretations of the War Powers Resolution. With just 16 days remaining, entrenched partisan divisions, competing floor priorities, and the requirement for expedited but still time-consuming procedures make completion by June 30 highly improbable.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions