Negotiations between the US and Iran over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid persistent disagreements on uranium enrichment limits, verification of highly enriched stockpiles, facility dismantlement, and the sequencing of sanctions relief. Following the 2026 conflict and April ceasefire, indirect talks via Omani mediators produced tentative understandings on related issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran has rejected core US demands and offered counterproposals that defer substantive nuclear concessions. US officials, including President Trump, have expressed dissatisfaction with progress, while Iranian statements indicate no imminent signing. These unresolved gaps have shaped trader consensus that a comprehensive deal is unlikely before the July 31 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
$200,883 Vol.
$200,883 Vol.
31 jul 2026
$200,883 Vol.
$200,883 Vol.
31 jul 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Negotiations between the US and Iran over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid persistent disagreements on uranium enrichment limits, verification of highly enriched stockpiles, facility dismantlement, and the sequencing of sanctions relief. Following the 2026 conflict and April ceasefire, indirect talks via Omani mediators produced tentative understandings on related issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran has rejected core US demands and offered counterproposals that defer substantive nuclear concessions. US officials, including President Trump, have expressed dissatisfaction with progress, while Iranian statements indicate no imminent signing. These unresolved gaps have shaped trader consensus that a comprehensive deal is unlikely before the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado Aberto: May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$200,883Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Negotiations between the US and Iran over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid persistent disagreements on uranium enrichment limits, verification of highly enriched stockpiles, facility dismantlement, and the sequencing of sanctions relief. Following the 2026 conflict and April ceasefire, indirect talks via Omani mediators produced tentative understandings on related issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran has rejected core US demands and offered counterproposals that defer substantive nuclear concessions. US officials, including President Trump, have expressed dissatisfaction with progress, while Iranian statements indicate no imminent signing. These unresolved gaps have shaped trader consensus that a comprehensive deal is unlikely before the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volume
$200,883Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
May 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between the US and Iran over a nuclear agreement remain stalled amid persistent disagreements on uranium enrichment limits, verification of highly enriched stockpiles, facility dismantlement, and the sequencing of sanctions relief. Following the 2026 conflict and April ceasefire, indirect talks via Omani mediators produced tentative understandings on related issues like reopening the Strait of Hormuz, yet Iran has rejected core US demands and offered counterproposals that defer substantive nuclear concessions. US officials, including President Trump, have expressed dissatisfaction with progress, while Iranian statements indicate no imminent signing. These unresolved gaps have shaped trader consensus that a comprehensive deal is unlikely before the July 31 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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