Germany's 61% implied probability reflects trader consensus on Die Mannschaft's superior FIFA ranking (top 10), attacking depth led by Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz, and recent dominant form including a 4-0 friendly win over Netherlands in March. Despite Serge Gnabry's confirmed adductor tear sidelining him for the tournament, Julian Nagelsmann's high-pressing 4-2-3-1 remains potent, as seen in Nations League triumphs. Ecuador's 20% chance underscores their resilient compact mid-block and counter-threats under Sebastián Beccacece, bolstered by Moisés Caicedo and Piero Hincapié, with a qualifier upset over Argentina highlighting upset potential. The 27.5% draw pricing captures La Tri's defensive solidity (1.0 goals against average last 10 matches) at MetLife Stadium.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIf Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 6, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcupResolver
0x69c47De9D...Germany's 61% implied probability reflects trader consensus on Die Mannschaft's superior FIFA ranking (top 10), attacking depth led by Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz, and recent dominant form including a 4-0 friendly win over Netherlands in March. Despite Serge Gnabry's confirmed adductor tear sidelining him for the tournament, Julian Nagelsmann's high-pressing 4-2-3-1 remains potent, as seen in Nations League triumphs. Ecuador's 20% chance underscores their resilient compact mid-block and counter-threats under Sebastián Beccacece, bolstered by Moisés Caicedo and Piero Hincapié, with a qualifier upset over Argentina highlighting upset potential. The 27.5% draw pricing captures La Tri's defensive solidity (1.0 goals against average last 10 matches) at MetLife Stadium.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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