Recent model consensus from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina points to a mild winter high near 18–20°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, supported by northerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions show overnight lows near 7–8°C under partly cloudy skies, with daytime warming expected from reduced southerly polar air influence typical of late August. Trader positioning clusters around 19–20°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts exhibit modest spread in maximum temperatures driven by uncertain boundary-layer mixing and exact frontal timing, while historical August averages near 16°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly priced in. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires em 26 de agosto?
19°C 37%
20°C 30%
18°C 14%
21°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
30%
21°C
10%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
4%
19°C 37%
20°C 30%
18°C 14%
21°C 10%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
8%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
30%
21°C
10%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the National Meteorological Service of Argentina points to a mild winter high near 18–20°C in Buenos Aires on August 26, supported by northerly flow advecting warmer air ahead of a weak front, combined with increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Current conditions show overnight lows near 7–8°C under partly cloudy skies, with daytime warming expected from reduced southerly polar air influence typical of late August. Trader positioning clusters around 19–20°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts exhibit modest spread in maximum temperatures driven by uncertain boundary-layer mixing and exact frontal timing, while historical August averages near 16°C provide context for the slight positive anomaly priced in. Updated runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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