Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 4 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 4 de agosto?
16°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,862 Vol.
$47,862 Vol.
4 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C ou mais
<1%
16°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$47,862 Vol.
$47,862 Vol.
4 ago 2026
12°C ou menos
$582 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$556 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$4,847 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$6,340 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$10,401 Vol.
100%
17°C
$11,309 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,921 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5,151 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,141 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,325 Vol.
<1%
22°C ou mais
$2,289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$47,862Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,862Data de Término
4 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in Buenos Aires on August 4, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for that exact outcome. Early-August climatology features modest solar insolation and prevailing westerly flow that typically limit highs to the 15–18°C range; recent numerical weather prediction runs converged tightly around 16°C with minimal warm-air advection or cloud-cover variability. Traders placed heavy weight on these verified forecast consensus and historical baselines rather than outlier scenarios. A realistic challenge would require either post-analysis revision of the official station reading or an unusually sharp local microclimate spike exceeding the measurement threshold, both of which remain low-probability events given the stable synoptic pattern.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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