Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 23 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 23 de setembro?
27°C ou mais 36%
26°C 35%
23°C 32%
24°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
17°C ou menos
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
18%
21°C
25%
22°C
27%
23°C
32%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C ou mais
36%
27°C ou mais 36%
26°C 35%
23°C 32%
24°C 31%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$191 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$119 Vol.
8%
20°C
$4 Vol.
18%
21°C
$0 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
32%
24°C
$0 Vol.
31%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$0 Vol.
35%
27°C ou mais
$22 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$336Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$336Data de Término
23 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Cape Town on September 23 indicate a moderating spring day with southeasterly winds and increased cloud cover limiting solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 21–22°C as the most probable highs. Recent warmer anomalies earlier in the month, driven by clearer conditions and variable pressure systems, have given way to this cooler pattern, though uncertainty in exact wind strength and cloud timing keeps probabilities distributed across 20–24°C outcomes. The 27°C+ tail reflects residual model divergence or potential for clearer breaks, while lower probabilities align with stronger onshore flow typical of the region's Mediterranean climate. Updated NHC-style or local agency guidance on frontal approaches could refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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