**Forecast model consensus for clear, sunny conditions with light southerly winds positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the leading outcome for Beijing on September 21.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local meteorological services, indicate highs of 29–32°C under minimal cloud cover and subsidence, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 18–20°C. Hourly profiles peak around midday to early afternoon at or slightly above 31°C before cooling, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward that threshold over nearby 30°C or 32°C options. September climatology for the region (typical highs 25–30°C) provides context, though current stability and absence of frontal systems or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated in the narrow 30–32°C band. Traders monitor official station observations for final resolution, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 21 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Pequim no dia 21 de setembro?
31°C 58%
30°C 26%
32°C 11%
29°C 7%
NOVO
$31,002 Vol.
NOVO
$31,002 Vol.
21 set 2026
24°C ou menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
26%
31°C
58%
32°C
11%
33°C
<1%
34°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 58%
30°C 26%
32°C 11%
29°C 7%
NOVO
$31,002 Vol.
NOVO
$31,002 Vol.
21 set 2026
24°C ou menos
$426 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$434 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$941 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,426 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,700 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,339 Vol.
7%
30°C
$2,839 Vol.
26%
31°C
$8,673 Vol.
58%
32°C
$2,111 Vol.
11%
33°C
$7,036 Vol.
<1%
34°C ou mais
$1,078 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for clear, sunny conditions with light southerly winds positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the leading outcome for Beijing on September 21.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local meteorological services, indicate highs of 29–32°C under minimal cloud cover and subsidence, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 18–20°C. Hourly profiles peak around midday to early afternoon at or slightly above 31°C before cooling, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward that threshold over nearby 30°C or 32°C options. September climatology for the region (typical highs 25–30°C) provides context, though current stability and absence of frontal systems or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated in the narrow 30–32°C band. Traders monitor official station observations for final resolution, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$31,002Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast model consensus for clear, sunny conditions with light southerly winds positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the leading outcome for Beijing on September 21.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local meteorological services, indicate highs of 29–32°C under minimal cloud cover and subsidence, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 18–20°C. Hourly profiles peak around midday to early afternoon at or slightly above 31°C before cooling, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward that threshold over nearby 30°C or 32°C options. September climatology for the region (typical highs 25–30°C) provides context, though current stability and absence of frontal systems or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated in the narrow 30–32°C band. Traders monitor official station observations for final resolution, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$31,002Data de Término
21 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus for clear, sunny conditions with light southerly winds positions a daily maximum near 31°C as the leading outcome for Beijing on September 21.** Multiple sources, including GFS-derived guidance and local meteorological services, indicate highs of 29–32°C under minimal cloud cover and subsidence, supporting efficient daytime radiative heating after overnight lows near 18–20°C. Hourly profiles peak around midday to early afternoon at or slightly above 31°C before cooling, aligning with the market’s strong weighting toward that threshold over nearby 30°C or 32°C options. September climatology for the region (typical highs 25–30°C) provides context, though current stability and absence of frontal systems or precipitation keep probabilities concentrated in the narrow 30–32°C band. Traders monitor official station observations for final resolution, with any late-day model adjustments potentially shifting implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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