Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Guangzhou no dia 12 de agosto?
39°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,382 Vol.
$48,382 Vol.
12 ago 2026
31°C ou menos
Não
32°C
Não
33°C
Não
34°C
Não
35°C
Não
36°C
Não
37°C
Não
38°C
Não
39°C
Sim
40°C
Não
41°C ou mais
Não
39°C 100.0%
31°C ou menos <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$48,382 Vol.
$48,382 Vol.
12 ago 2026
31°C ou menos
$471 Vol.
Não
32°C
$450 Vol.
Não
33°C
$903 Vol.
Não
34°C
$1,825 Vol.
Não
35°C
$2,607 Vol.
Não
36°C
$4,594 Vol.
Não
37°C
$8,864 Vol.
Não
38°C
$7,473 Vol.
Não
39°C
$6,943 Vol.
Sim
40°C
$9,324 Vol.
Não
41°C ou mais
$4,928 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$48,382Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,382Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Forecast models from agencies including AccuWeather and numerical ensembles project a daily maximum near 39°C in Guangzhou on August 12 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure system, with minimal cloud cover, light winds, and strong solar heating across the Pearl River Delta. This setup aligns with peak summer climatology for the region, where historical analogs show frequent highs of 37–39°C when subsidence suppresses convection. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 39°C reflects convergence across ensemble runs and real-time observations confirming the outcome. Realistic challenges remain limited but include late-day thunderstorm development or localized measurement differences at official stations that could shift the recorded peak by 1°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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