**Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations strongly support the market's near-certain consensus on a 33°C daily maximum.** With a very hot weather warning active, urban areas are expected to peak around 33–34°C under sunny periods and light southerly winds, consistent with regional station readings in the low-to-mid 30s and seasonal norms for mid-August. Model guidance shows limited potential for significant afternoon cooling from isolated showers, keeping the official HKO headquarters reading aligned with 33°C. The outcome could shift only if unforecast convection or a localized sea breeze rapidly suppresses temperatures below this threshold before evening measurements close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 13 de agosto?
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$105,611 Vol.
$105,611 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$105,611 Vol.
$105,611 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations strongly support the market's near-certain consensus on a 33°C daily maximum.** With a very hot weather warning active, urban areas are expected to peak around 33–34°C under sunny periods and light southerly winds, consistent with regional station readings in the low-to-mid 30s and seasonal norms for mid-August. Model guidance shows limited potential for significant afternoon cooling from isolated showers, keeping the official HKO headquarters reading aligned with 33°C. The outcome could shift only if unforecast convection or a localized sea breeze rapidly suppresses temperatures below this threshold before evening measurements close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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