Stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light northerly winds dominate current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Istanbul on August 13, anchoring afternoon maxima near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer conditions. These patterns limit cloud cover and moisture advection while promoting efficient daytime heating without extreme buildup, consistent with historical August averages of 27–29 °C and recent short-range model runs that show minor cooling from modest wind increases or patchy cloud. The tight market clustering at 27 °C (51%) and 28 °C (41%) reflects trader weighting of this narrow consensus range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of frontal systems or heat advection. New model updates and observational data through the evening of August 12 will further refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 13 de agosto?
27°C 51%
28°C 41%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
NOVO
$11,609 Vol.
NOVO
$11,609 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
51%
28°C
41%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 41%
26°C 5%
29°C 5%
NOVO
$11,609 Vol.
NOVO
$11,609 Vol.
13 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$435 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$558 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$705 Vol.
1%
26°C
$938 Vol.
5%
27°C
$3,269 Vol.
51%
28°C
$1,972 Vol.
41%
29°C
$735 Vol.
5%
30°C
$1,002 Vol.
1%
31°C
$608 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
33°C ou mais
$267 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light northerly winds dominate current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Istanbul on August 13, anchoring afternoon maxima near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer conditions. These patterns limit cloud cover and moisture advection while promoting efficient daytime heating without extreme buildup, consistent with historical August averages of 27–29 °C and recent short-range model runs that show minor cooling from modest wind increases or patchy cloud. The tight market clustering at 27 °C (51%) and 28 °C (41%) reflects trader weighting of this narrow consensus range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of frontal systems or heat advection. New model updates and observational data through the evening of August 12 will further refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$11,609Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light northerly winds dominate current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Istanbul on August 13, anchoring afternoon maxima near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer conditions. These patterns limit cloud cover and moisture advection while promoting efficient daytime heating without extreme buildup, consistent with historical August averages of 27–29 °C and recent short-range model runs that show minor cooling from modest wind increases or patchy cloud. The tight market clustering at 27 °C (51%) and 28 °C (41%) reflects trader weighting of this narrow consensus range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of frontal systems or heat advection. New model updates and observational data through the evening of August 12 will further refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,609Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems, clear skies, and light northerly winds dominate current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models for Istanbul on August 13, anchoring afternoon maxima near 27–28 °C under typical late-summer conditions. These patterns limit cloud cover and moisture advection while promoting efficient daytime heating without extreme buildup, consistent with historical August averages of 27–29 °C and recent short-range model runs that show minor cooling from modest wind increases or patchy cloud. The tight market clustering at 27 °C (51%) and 28 °C (41%) reflects trader weighting of this narrow consensus range, with low probabilities assigned to outliers given the absence of frontal systems or heat advection. New model updates and observational data through the evening of August 12 will further refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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