Current forecast consensus from meteorological models positions a maximum temperature of 25°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on September 9, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating. Multiple runs indicate mostly sunny skies with highs ranging 25–27°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology under weak synoptic forcing. Trader emphasis on the 25°C bin aligns with this narrow ensemble spread and the short lead time, where observational updates from official stations will resolve the market with little scope for rapid shifts. Minor model variability around peak insolation timing supports the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 9 de setembro?
25°C 68%
26°C 15%
24°C 13%
23°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
13%
25°C
68%
26°C
15%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 68%
26°C 15%
24°C 13%
23°C 2%
NOVO
NOVO
9 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$292 Vol.
1%
22°C
$200 Vol.
2%
23°C
$211 Vol.
2%
24°C
$216 Vol.
13%
25°C
$734 Vol.
68%
26°C
$897 Vol.
15%
27°C
$131 Vol.
2%
28°C
$151 Vol.
1%
29°C
$249 Vol.
1%
30°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$401 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological models positions a maximum temperature of 25°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on September 9, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating. Multiple runs indicate mostly sunny skies with highs ranging 25–27°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology under weak synoptic forcing. Trader emphasis on the 25°C bin aligns with this narrow ensemble spread and the short lead time, where observational updates from official stations will resolve the market with little scope for rapid shifts. Minor model variability around peak insolation timing supports the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,637Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from meteorological models positions a maximum temperature of 25°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on September 9, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating. Multiple runs indicate mostly sunny skies with highs ranging 25–27°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology under weak synoptic forcing. Trader emphasis on the 25°C bin aligns with this narrow ensemble spread and the short lead time, where observational updates from official stations will resolve the market with little scope for rapid shifts. Minor model variability around peak insolation timing supports the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,637Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological models positions a maximum temperature of 25°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on September 9, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and northeasterly flow that limit daytime heating. Multiple runs indicate mostly sunny skies with highs ranging 25–27°C and minimal cloud cover or precipitation risk, consistent with early September climatology under weak synoptic forcing. Trader emphasis on the 25°C bin aligns with this narrow ensemble spread and the short lead time, where observational updates from official stations will resolve the market with little scope for rapid shifts. Minor model variability around peak insolation timing supports the secondary probabilities for 24°C and 26°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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