**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources strongly supports trader positioning on 26°C or higher (94.6% implied probability) for Jinan’s September 3 high.** Official and private models, including those referenced in Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a clear, sunny day with highs of 28–31°C under northeast winds of 3–4 levels and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, when average daily highs begin near 28–29°C before the seasonal decline accelerates later in the month. Current conditions on September 2—sunny with highs near 28–29°C—indicate stable high-pressure dominance that favors continued warmth and limited diurnal mixing. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, typically taken at standard times; the narrow spread of model outputs leaves little room for sub-26°C outcomes absent an unforeseen rapid change. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential late-day cloud buildup, localized measurement site effects, or short-term forecast revisions from updated model runs. Historical analogs show early-September Jinan highs rarely dip below the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns, reinforcing the market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Jinan em 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Jinan em 3 de setembro?
26°C ou mais 97.8%
18°C 1.6%
21°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou mais
98%
26°C ou mais 97.8%
18°C 1.6%
21°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
16°C ou menos
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,010 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$101 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C ou mais
$297 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources strongly supports trader positioning on 26°C or higher (94.6% implied probability) for Jinan’s September 3 high.** Official and private models, including those referenced in Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a clear, sunny day with highs of 28–31°C under northeast winds of 3–4 levels and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, when average daily highs begin near 28–29°C before the seasonal decline accelerates later in the month.
Current conditions on September 2—sunny with highs near 28–29°C—indicate stable high-pressure dominance that favors continued warmth and limited diurnal mixing. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, typically taken at standard times; the narrow spread of model outputs leaves little room for sub-26°C outcomes absent an unforeseen rapid change.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential late-day cloud buildup, localized measurement site effects, or short-term forecast revisions from updated model runs. Historical analogs show early-September Jinan highs rarely dip below the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns, reinforcing the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,988Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources strongly supports trader positioning on 26°C or higher (94.6% implied probability) for Jinan’s September 3 high.** Official and private models, including those referenced in Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a clear, sunny day with highs of 28–31°C under northeast winds of 3–4 levels and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, when average daily highs begin near 28–29°C before the seasonal decline accelerates later in the month.
Current conditions on September 2—sunny with highs near 28–29°C—indicate stable high-pressure dominance that favors continued warmth and limited diurnal mixing. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, typically taken at standard times; the narrow spread of model outputs leaves little room for sub-26°C outcomes absent an unforeseen rapid change.
Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential late-day cloud buildup, localized measurement site effects, or short-term forecast revisions from updated model runs. Historical analogs show early-September Jinan highs rarely dip below the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns, reinforcing the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,988Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources strongly supports trader positioning on 26°C or higher (94.6% implied probability) for Jinan’s September 3 high.** Official and private models, including those referenced in Chinese weather services and international platforms, project a clear, sunny day with highs of 28–31°C under northeast winds of 3–4 levels and negligible cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with early-September climatology, when average daily highs begin near 28–29°C before the seasonal decline accelerates later in the month. Current conditions on September 2—sunny with highs near 28–29°C—indicate stable high-pressure dominance that favors continued warmth and limited diurnal mixing. Resolution hinges on official station measurements, typically taken at standard times; the narrow spread of model outputs leaves little room for sub-26°C outcomes absent an unforeseen rapid change. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential late-day cloud buildup, localized measurement site effects, or short-term forecast revisions from updated model runs. Historical analogs show early-September Jinan highs rarely dip below the mid-20s under similar synoptic patterns, reinforcing the market-implied odds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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