Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 12 de agosto?
31°C 63%
30°C 20%
32°C 15.3%
33°C 3%
$74,178 Vol.
$74,178 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
20%
31°C
63%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 63%
30°C 20%
32°C 15.3%
33°C 3%
$74,178 Vol.
$74,178 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
$2,417 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,417 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,384 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,753 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,025 Vol.
2%
30°C
$12,748 Vol.
20%
31°C
$14,900 Vol.
63%
32°C
$7,440 Vol.
15%
33°C
$6,814 Vol.
3%
34°C ou mais
$6,524 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$74,178Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$74,178Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong high-pressure systems and clear skies are positioning London for a peak temperature near 31°C today, consistent with the market's leading 64.5% implied probability for that outcome. Official Met Office guidance highlights rapid daytime warming under strong sunshine and light easterly winds, with model runs converging on highs of 31–32°C at urban stations like London City Airport. Recent warming trends, building from 26°C earlier in the week, reflect continental air advection and minimal cloud cover. Lower probabilities for 30°C or 32°C reflect minor uncertainties in exact timing of peak heating and urban heat-island effects, while odds below 29°C or above 33°C remain negligible given stable forecast consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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