Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 17 de julho?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 17 de julho?
21°C 30%
22°C 27%
20°C 19%
23°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
17 jul 2026
16°C or below
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
7%
19°C
8%
20°C
13%
21°C
30%
22°C
27%
23°C
16%
24°C
12%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
3%
21°C 30%
22°C 27%
20°C 19%
23°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
17 jul 2026
16°C or below
$10 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
5%
18°C
$0 Vol.
7%
19°C
$0 Vol.
8%
20°C
$16 Vol.
13%
21°C
$0 Vol.
30%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
16%
24°C
$0 Vol.
12%
25°C
$5 Vol.
6%
26°C or higher
$15 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$46Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46Data de Término
17 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate Moscow’s July 17 daytime maximum will likely reach 21–22°C under stable anticyclonic conditions with minimal cloud cover and light northerly flow. These outcomes command the highest market-implied probabilities because recent observations show a modest cooling trend from mid-July peaks near 25°C, driven by a transient upper-level trough that has moderated surface heating. Key variables separating adjacent bins include slight differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and urban heat-island effects, which can add 0.5–1°C locally. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine confidence ahead of the July 17 resolution window.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions