Current forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 29–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. In the peak wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap temperatures at or slightly above the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Small differences in shower timing, humidity levels, and local sea-breeze strength create the narrow 1°C spread traders are pricing, while historical data show extremes below 29°C or above 33°C remain uncommon given stable equatorial conditions and neutral ENSO. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 25 de agosto?
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
26°C ou menos
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
2%
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 21%
29°C 7%
26°C ou menos
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
21%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies like the Met Office and AccuWeather centers on a daytime high near 29–32°C for Panama City on August 25, aligning with the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes. In the peak wet season, the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convection, cloud cover, and showers that typically cap temperatures at or slightly above the long-term August average of 30–31°C. Small differences in shower timing, humidity levels, and local sea-breeze strength create the narrow 1°C spread traders are pricing, while historical data show extremes below 29°C or above 33°C remain uncommon given stable equatorial conditions and neutral ENSO. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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