Recent National Weather Service and regional model runs for Panama City emphasize typical wet-season dynamics—persistent low-level moisture, sea-breeze circulation, and afternoon convection—as the main factors keeping the highest temperature on August 24 clustered near 31–33 °C. These conditions generate widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating, producing outcomes only modestly above the long-term August mean of roughly 31 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range because small differences in convective timing or urban heat-island intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while stronger-than-expected sea breezes or earlier rainfall would favor the lower tail. No major synoptic shifts are forecast before resolution, leaving traders focused on the next 12–18 h of high-resolution guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 24 de agosto?
32°C 35%
33°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 9%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
17%
32°C
35%
33°C
31%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 35%
33°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C 9%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
17%
32°C
35%
33°C
31%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and regional model runs for Panama City emphasize typical wet-season dynamics—persistent low-level moisture, sea-breeze circulation, and afternoon convection—as the main factors keeping the highest temperature on August 24 clustered near 31–33 °C. These conditions generate widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit peak solar heating, producing outcomes only modestly above the long-term August mean of roughly 31 °C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range because small differences in convective timing or urban heat-island intensity can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C, while stronger-than-expected sea breezes or earlier rainfall would favor the lower tail. No major synoptic shifts are forecast before resolution, leaving traders focused on the next 12–18 h of high-resolution guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions