Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 76-77°F on August 11 in San Francisco, reflecting National Weather Service observations and regional model runs that captured peak afternoon readings under moderating onshore flow. A persistent marine layer and cool Pacific advection typically suppress highs near 70°F in August, yet localized warming from reduced cloud cover and lighter winds allowed temperatures to reach the mid-70s at official stations. This outcome aligns with climatological variability around the seasonal mean of roughly 69-72°F. Resolution hinges on verified maximums from primary reporting sites; alternative scenarios such as station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions remain possible but low-probability given consistent data streams.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 11 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco no dia 11 de agosto?
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F ou menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$78,413 Vol.
$78,413 Vol.
11 ago 2026
65°F ou menos
Não
66-67°F
Não
68-69°F
Não
70-71°F
Não
22-23°C
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Sim
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84°F ou mais
Não
76-77°F 100.0%
65°F ou menos <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$78,413 Vol.
$78,413 Vol.
11 ago 2026
65°F ou menos
$5,090 Vol.
Não
66-67°F
$6,563 Vol.
Não
68-69°F
$9,223 Vol.
Não
70-71°F
$11,749 Vol.
Não
22-23°C
$16,092 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$8,843 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$9,837 Vol.
Sim
78-79°F
$5,890 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$3,116 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$545 Vol.
Não
84°F ou mais
$1,466 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 76-77°F on August 11 in San Francisco, reflecting National Weather Service observations and regional model runs that captured peak afternoon readings under moderating onshore flow. A persistent marine layer and cool Pacific advection typically suppress highs near 70°F in August, yet localized warming from reduced cloud cover and lighter winds allowed temperatures to reach the mid-70s at official stations. This outcome aligns with climatological variability around the seasonal mean of roughly 69-72°F. Resolution hinges on verified maximums from primary reporting sites; alternative scenarios such as station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions remain possible but low-probability given consistent data streams.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$78,413Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 76-77°F on August 11 in San Francisco, reflecting National Weather Service observations and regional model runs that captured peak afternoon readings under moderating onshore flow. A persistent marine layer and cool Pacific advection typically suppress highs near 70°F in August, yet localized warming from reduced cloud cover and lighter winds allowed temperatures to reach the mid-70s at official stations. This outcome aligns with climatological variability around the seasonal mean of roughly 69-72°F. Resolution hinges on verified maximums from primary reporting sites; alternative scenarios such as station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions remain possible but low-probability given consistent data streams.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78,413Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 76-77°F on August 11 in San Francisco, reflecting National Weather Service observations and regional model runs that captured peak afternoon readings under moderating onshore flow. A persistent marine layer and cool Pacific advection typically suppress highs near 70°F in August, yet localized warming from reduced cloud cover and lighter winds allowed temperatures to reach the mid-70s at official stations. This outcome aligns with climatological variability around the seasonal mean of roughly 69-72°F. Resolution hinges on verified maximums from primary reporting sites; alternative scenarios such as station-specific discrepancies or post-analysis revisions remain possible but low-probability given consistent data streams.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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